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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Feely | 100% | +10 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gina Swoboda | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matt Gress | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jason Duey | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joseph Chaplik | 0% | −10 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Muchelle Ugenti-Rita | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Todd Graham | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mark Brnovich | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kari Lake | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Derrick Gallego | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kaitlin Purrington | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paul Reevs | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Brandon Sowers | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| John Trobough | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87d | SnowLover7 | Joseph Chaplik | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | +$117 +6.6% | 10 |
| 87d | SnowLover7 | Jay Feely | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,440 | +$567 +6.7% | 10 |
| 99d |  mrworldwide | Joseph Chaplik | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,423 | +$248 +17% | 10 |
| 99d | mrworldwide | Jay Feely | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,437 | +$412 +17% | 10 |
| 139d | Stonktrader | Mark Brnovich | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,352 | +$13 +0.1% | 10 |
| 202d | Devoted-Classroom | Matt Gress | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,554 | +$21 +0.6% | 10 |
| 202d | Everlasting-Orchestra | Matt Gress | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,538 | +$21 +0.6% | 10 |
| 202d | Infinite-Infinite | Matt Gress | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,545 | +$21 +0.6% | 10 |
| 210d | Juniorju31 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,295 | −$46 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | pelican-bulk-theory | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$41 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | slight4231 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,415 | −$50 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | cerealCrucial | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | −$43 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | welcome-puzzle | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,695 | −$61 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | prosper.level.kiss | Paul Reevs | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$40 +3.6% | 10 |
| 210d | welcome-puzzle | Paul Reevs | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,695 | +$61 +3.6% | 10 |
| 210d | cerealCrucial | Paul Reevs | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$43 +3.6% | 10 |
| 210d | tumbletf50 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | −$37 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | Health-Bless | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | −$54 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | Flee003 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | −$38 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | Curve-Ski | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | −$58 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | tumbletf50 | Paul Reevs | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,038 | +$38 +3.6% | 10 |
| 210d | major-account2 fills | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,377 | −$117 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | submit-rent-enlist | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | −$56 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | Genre-Elegant | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | −$61 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | muffin-fruit-toy | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | −$58 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | direct-claw | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,603 | −$56 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | indexcf22 | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | −$50 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | want8847 | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | −$43 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | local-field | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | −$50 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | boostjq87 | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$41 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | orienthp48 | Paul Reevs | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,508 | +$56 +3.7% | 10 |
| 210d | want8847 | Paul Reevs | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$62 +3.7% | 10 |
| 210d | render5335 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | −$40 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | Bracket905 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,731 | −$63 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | recyclekc71 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | −$47 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | use-inflict | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$36 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | repairwg99 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | −$59 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | use-inflict | Paul Reevs | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$37 +3.7% | 10 |
| 210d | repairwg99 | Paul Reevs | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$61 +3.7% | 10 |
| 210d | render5335 | Paul Reevs | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$41 +3.7% | 10 |
| 210d | arrive-athlete | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,544 | −$56 −3.6% | — |
| 210d | Rudetaxi2 fills | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,091 | −$115 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | youzg99 | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | −$59 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | youzg99 | Paul Reevs | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | +$61 +3.8% | 10 |
| 210d | tip-ice | Paul Reevs | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$43 +3.8% | 10 |
| 210d | orientEndless | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$37 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | orientEndless | Paul Reevs | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | +$52 +3.6% | 10 |
| 210d | unique0732 | Paul Reevs | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | +$54 +3.6% | 10 |
| 210d | time.breeze.runway | Paul Reevs | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | +$62 +3.6% | 10 |
| 210d | floorCopy | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | −$41 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | garbageGinger | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | −$55 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | borderUniform | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,741 | −$61 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | tattoo-praise | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | −$46 −3.5% | — |
| 210d | tomorrowEarly | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | −$55 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | announce-keen-weasel | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | −$57 −3.7% | — |
| 210d | Embody-Dinosaur | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | −$43 −4.0% | — |
| 210d | Vibrant517 | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$40 −4.0% | — |
| 210d | tornado-nephew | Paul Reevs | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$40 −4.0% | — |
| 210d | Vibrant517 | Paul Reevs | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | +$39 +3.8% | 10 |
| 210d | patch8143 | Paul Reevs | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$36 −3.5% | — |
DOLLAR-PRINTER250 shares
thisisthewaymamba146 sharesThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jay Feely means the market gives it about 100%.