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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 954d | Nobody230412 fills | Biden cognitive test before April? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,479 | −$86 −2.5% | — |
| 962d |  ANudeEgg | Biden cognitive test before April? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | −$216 −8.7% | — |
| 962d | vainglorious872 fills | Biden cognitive test before April? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,082 | +$340 +8.3% | 4 |
| 970d | lalalalalalaal | Biden cognitive test before April? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$112 +8.7% | 4 |
| 970d | Nobody230415 fills | Biden cognitive test before April? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,489 | +$851 +9.0% | 4 |
| 974d | ANudeEgg | Biden cognitive test before April? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | +$128 +9.9% | 4 |
| 975d |  50Whence | Biden cognitive test before April? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | +$78 +7.5% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joseph Biden takes a test specifically for measuring his cognitive capacity, and it is publicly reported that he took such a test, between February 12 and March 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.