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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813d |  CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente4 fills | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,046 | +$81 +0.6% | 4 |
| 813d |  Flipp | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,660 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 814d |  LBZcapital | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 814d | Mara2 fills | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,060 | +$35 +1.1% | 4 |
| 814d | tianchunyi | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 814d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,795 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 815d | okcoolstorybro3 fills | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,249 | +$97 +1.2% | 4 |
| 815d | CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente2 fills | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,401 | −$169 −1.8% | — |
| 815d | carpetinspector | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$40 +1.4% | 4 |
| 817d | Flipp2 fills | Biden dropout letter published without consent? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,015 | +$37 +1.2% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence is made public confirming the Biden dropout letter was published to X/Twitter without the consent of President Joe Biden by July 26, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.