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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 0% | −12 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +40 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 183d | Timely-ExpansionismNew account | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,106 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | brilionx0 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,997 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d |  Miffffy | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,253 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,064 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | AndrianoLamo | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,062 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | mamai | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,474 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Pixel42 | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,096 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | poo3aleks | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,008 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 183d |  Facaie | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,247 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Facaie | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,797 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | N1xHS | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,596 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Facaie | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,200 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | Corny-Departure | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,733 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | polbot2 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,310 | +$64 +1.0% | 2 |
| 183d | onekey09 | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,075 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 183d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,994 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 183d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $10,906 | +$1,550 +14% | 3 |
| 183d |  lasiweijiasi | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 183d | 901190112 fills | 76,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,709 | −$236 −1.6% | — |
| 183d | Navigator77 | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,215 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 183d | gobblewobble9 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $11,235 | +$2,011 +18% | 3 |
| 184d | hersoan2025 | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,992 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 184d | deranged4 fills | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,645 | −$37 −0.3% | — |
| 184d | MU247 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | edseah | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,095 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d | sjd | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,447 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d | vanderleigambero | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,719 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d | hersoan2025 | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d |  upont2 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,280 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 184d | onekey09 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,287 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d | piagopilva | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,186 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 184d |  Tttyh | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Tttyh2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,989 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d | piagopilva | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,944 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 184d | KaelNevermore | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,881 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 184d | Musty-Clay | 74,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,891 | +$876 +18% | 3 |
| 184d | PmDerek | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,798 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d | PmDerek9 fills | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,020 | −$34 −0.2% | — |
| 184d | streetdebt | 74,000 | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | −$1,325 −100% | 5 |
| 184d | streetdebt | 74,000 | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | −$1,073 −72% | — |
| 184d | Deafening-Refund2 fills | 74,000 | SellNo49¢ → 0¢ | $7,258 | +$7,258 +100% | — |
| 184d | doshshirl | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,249 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 184d |  VasiliSko3 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,492 | +$27 +0.2% | 2 |
| 184d | BunCaCham | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,465 | +$33 +0.2% | 2 |
| 184d | MargaritaPard | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,721 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 184d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,584 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 184d | VasiliSko2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,432 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 184d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,317 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 184d | Formula-26.F | 74,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$1,031 +100% | 5 |
| 184d | srilakshmi | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,285 | +$19 +0.3% | 2 |
| 184d | jc222 | 72,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,524 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 184d | 0x4773…2289 | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,543 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 184d | deranged | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,031 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 184d | deranged3 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,393 | +$27 +0.6% | 2 |
| 184d | deranged | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 74,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $5,710 | −$5,710 −100% | 5 |
| 184d | gobblewobble | 74,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $1,117 | −$1,117 −100% | 4 |
| 184d | Musty-Clay | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,813 | −$20 −0.4% | — |
| 184d | luwis99 | 72,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$21 −1.9% | — |
| 184d | Mivindos | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,106 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 0%.