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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +81 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −19 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +63 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 181d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,074 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 181d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,972 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 181d | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,516 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 181d | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,300 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 181d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,717 | −$11 −0.1% | — | |
| 181d | Timely-ExpansionismNew account | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | onekey094 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $43,804 | +$271 +0.6% | 2 |
| 181d | edseah | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,127 | +$25 +0.4% | 2 |
| 181d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,015 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 181d | SkyLove7 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,163 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 181d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,479 | +$22 +0.4% | 2 |
| 181d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,207 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 181d | ylnopU | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,207 | +$25 +0.6% | 2 |
| 181d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,960 | +$35 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 181d | noloainakaila | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,854 | +$39 +1.0% | 2 |
| 181d | Bustling-Repository | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,321 | +$34 +1.0% | 2 |
| 181d | 12QWAQA | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 181d | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $18,446 | +$513 +2.8% | 2 | |
| 182d | gobblewobble36 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $48,121 | +$4,346 +9.0% | 2 |
| 182d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F6 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $17,921 | +$4,618 +26% | 3 |
| 182d | Marioy | 76,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,752 | +$217 +12% | 3 |
| 182d | Solmaxi8888.sol | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,953 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 182d | CorentinStakes | 76,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,661 | +$296 +11% | 3 |
| 182d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,314 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 182d | dallascd | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $57,249 | +$57 +0.1% | 2 |
| 182d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,081 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 182d | Funboyboy | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,365 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 182d | PmDerek6 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,999 | +$40 +0.3% | 2 |
| 182d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 182d | WanTonMee3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,487 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 182d | Musty-Clay | 76,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,942 | +$461 +16% | 3 |
| 182d | Alex77751 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,997 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 182d | dodono | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,654 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 182d | guccigopnik | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,577 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 182d | Mizukaze2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,862 | +$23 +0.2% | 2 |
| 182d | Mizukaze | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,116 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 182d | btcpm | 76,000 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$838 +46% | 5 |
| 182d | btcpm | 76,000 | SellNo33¢ → 0¢ | $2,826 | +$2,826 +100% | — |
| 182d | PnLDestroyer | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 182d | btcpm | 76,000 | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $3,900 | −$3,900 −100% | 5 |
| 182d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $39,757 | −$40 −0.1% | — | |
| 182d | maxsss2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,650 | +$44 +0.3% | 2 |
| 182d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F7 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $17,041 | −$17,041 −100% | 5 |
| 182d | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,768 | +$34 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 182d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $38,049 | −$38 −0.1% | — | |
| 182d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $35,080 | +$35 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 182d | PmDerek | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,271 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 182d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,518 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 182d | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,876 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 182d | Tianhe | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,219 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 182d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $45,768 | +$50 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 182d | detoxification | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 182d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,309 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 182d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,521 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 182d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $67,684 | +$68 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 182d | deranged | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,966 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 182d | asgharmallh | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,382 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 182d | winnerz100 | 76,000 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,064 | −$2,064 −100% | 7 |
| 182d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,876 | +$23 +0.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.