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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74,000 | 100% | +9 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | −37 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +60 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180d | Deafening-Refund | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,207 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | Corny-Departure | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,032 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | AndrianoLamo | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,367 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | anon.1980.123 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,542 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,469 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | KaelNevermore | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | Musty-Clay | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,827 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | Deafening-Refund | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,799 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 180d |  korya | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,392 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | Deafening-Refund | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,632 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | edward0208 | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | BunCaCham | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d |  upont4 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,286 | +$77 +0.8% | 2 |
| 180d |  aketemola | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,997 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 180d | edseah | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,190 | +$46 +0.6% | 2 |
| 180d | onekey094 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,892 | +$180 +0.9% | 2 |
| 180d | ylnopU | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,249 | +$34 +0.8% | 2 |
| 180d | CorentinStakes | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,135 | +$25 +0.8% | 2 |
| 180d | Bustling-Repository | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,366 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 180d | zoquendo | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,997 | +$21 +0.7% | 2 |
| 180d | Worldly-Fifth | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$23 +0.9% | 2 |
| 180d |  FXC2 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,395 | +$171 +1.6% | 2 |
| 180d |  Facaie | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,095 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | 90119011 | 76,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,677 | +$238 +3.1% | 2 |
| 180d | 90119011 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,714 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 180d |  Tttyh | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,965 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | 12QWAQA2 fills | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,197 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | Musty-Clay | 76,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,629 | +$191 +2.9% | 2 |
| 181d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $6,857 | +$4,831 +70% | 4 |
| 181d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,361 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | FXC2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,429 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | xiaoB | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | onekey093 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $138,773 | +$246 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | Incompatible-Concentrate | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,152 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | onekey09 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,627 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | bxnuwilliam | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,632 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,779 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | iwanttodrinktea | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,482 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | wtde | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,495 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 181d | allen111 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,592 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | pengpeng666 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | Facaie | 76,000 | SellYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,109 | +$1,109 +100% | — |
| 181d | Tttyh | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,992 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 181d | PmDerek4 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,737 | +$91 +0.4% | 2 |
| 181d | PmDerek2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,710 | −$35 −0.2% | — |
| 181d | WanTonMee2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,449 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,018 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 181d | Tttyh4 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,686 | +$17 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | lorjames | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,404 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 181d | Tianhe | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,227 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 181d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F5 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $6,558 | −$6,558 −100% | 5 |
| 181d |  Blocklu | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,148 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | Incognitoo4 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,544 | +$30 +0.5% | 2 |
| 181d | Incognitoo | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,549 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 181d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,486 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 181d | PmDerek | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,451 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 181d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,166 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 181d | Corny-Departure | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,984 | +$51 +0.8% | 2 |
| 181d | leinzo | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,083 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
Erka-RoadTo1M6,336 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.