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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +31 pts | +67 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | −24 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179d | KaelNevermore | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,926 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,944 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | 0x9429…c1512 fills | 76,000 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,124 | −$456 −15% | — |
| 179d | edward0208 | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,749 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | Corny-Departure | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,174 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | Timely-ExpansionismNew account | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,213 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | Insidious-Pulley | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,594 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,403 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 179d |  korya | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,637 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 179d |  Facaie | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,262 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | Facaie | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,653 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | Facaie | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,141 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | ola | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $45,175 | −$45 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | Snappy-PainterNew account | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,292 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 179d |  Quiiinnnnnnn | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,754 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 179d | AnonymousPerson | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,977 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 179d | Cactus-001 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,490 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 179d | xiaoxue6731 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,893 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 179d |  ProudIsraeli | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $23,846 | +$135 +0.6% | 2 |
| 179d | ProudIsraeli | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,933 | +$59 +0.2% | 2 |
| 179d | POLMAXI | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,907 | +$81 +0.9% | 2 |
| 179d | POLMAXI | 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,793 | +$181 +2.1% | 2 |
| 179d | Ill-Informed-Commission | 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,268 | +$28 +2.2% | 2 |
| 179d | Ill-Informed-Commission | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | +$20 +1.6% | 2 |
| 179d |  ZeinST | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,727 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 179d | GoingGangrene2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,236 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 179d | dujfg | 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$26 +2.5% | 2 |
| 179d | gobblewobble8 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $10,423 | +$779 +7.5% | 2 |
| 179d |  Tttyh2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,989 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 179d | HGDSdftr | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$15 +1.4% | 2 |
| 179d | 0xDB53 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,152 | +$219 +5.3% | 2 |
| 179d | Fsffftgs | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$17 +1.6% | 2 |
| 180d | Deafening-Refund3 fills | 74,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,947 | −$75 −1.9% | — |
| 180d | AAfdrw | 76,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$77 +7.5% | 3 |
| 180d | Facaie | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,621 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | 0xe617…f251 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,997 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 180d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | +$25 +1.5% | 2 |
| 180d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,336 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 180d | Funboyboy2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,012 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 |
| 180d |  Cayou | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,536 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 180d | doshshirl | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 180d | PmDerek2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,428 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 180d | PmDerek | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,602 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 76,000 | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,112 | −$1,112 −100% | 5 |
| 180d | ola | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $45,130 | +$45 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | Corny-Departure2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,016 | +$153 +2.5% | 2 |
| 180d |  kAraBoga8964 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$19 +1.5% | 2 |
| 180d | Mizukaze2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,377 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 180d | Mizukaze | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,357 | +$31 +0.3% | 2 |
| 180d | zhuzhukkejue0092 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,395 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 180d | lnarix | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,724 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 180d | ola | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $36,955 | −$37 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | AINY0012 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,066 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 180d | thickk | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 180d |  propq2 | 76,000 | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,076 | −$1,076 −100% | 5 |
| 180d | Snappy-PainterNew account | 76,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$192 +18% | 5 |
| 180d | rittterditter | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$9 +0.7% | 2 |
| 180d | Funboyboy | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,099 | +$43 +0.2% | 2 |
| 180d | tripleconsensus | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,121 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 180d | foux2 fills | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,165 | −$38 −0.9% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 70,000 means the market gives it about 100%.