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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −33 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174d | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,290 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 174d | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,933 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 174d | Dantezallen | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,000 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,004 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 174d | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,659 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 175d | CorentinStakes | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$31 +1.0% | 2 |
| 175d | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$26 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 175d | ylnopU | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | +$26 +1.3% | 2 |
| 175d | nomalmaker | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | 0x9e74…2a60 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,035 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | PmDerek4 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $26,001 | −$48 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | Dantezallen | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | PmDerek5 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $30,153 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | gobblewobble | 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | +$106 +7.8% | 3 |
| 175d | PmDerek2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,067 | −$9 −0.2% | — |
| 175d | PmDerek | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,843 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,852 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 175d | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,991 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 175d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,377 | +$46 +0.3% | 2 |
| 175d | Mizukaze | 78,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,279 | +$59 +4.6% | 2 |
| 175d | lnarix | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,698 | +$27 +0.4% | 2 |
| 175d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,253 | +$19 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 175d | Tianhe | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,536 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 175d | 90119011 | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,277 | −$37 −0.9% | — |
| 175d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,744 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 175d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,228 | +$49 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 175d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,044 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | nomalmaker | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 175d | Decimal-Transportation | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | −$9 −0.8% | — |
| 175d | Decimal-Transportation | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,229 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 175d | Incognitoo | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $7,040 | +$35 +0.5% | 2 |
| 175d | deranged | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,715 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | 0xe6cf…cade | 78,000 | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,470 | +$1,470 +100% | — |
| 175d | Rust701 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,997 | +$26 +0.4% | 2 |
| 175d | Funboyboy | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,640 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $20,513 | −$21 −0.1% | — | |
| 175d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,846 | +$79 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 175d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,512 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 175d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 175d | Winding-Assessment | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,876 | +$41 +0.8% | 2 |
| 175d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,874 | +$110 +1.1% | 2 |
| 175d | shoulakuanti | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,013 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | duanyoude | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,016 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | zhiliangwenti | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,017 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | ZZKJHMM010 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,699 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | cajslcnlkb21t | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,017 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | daslgk262fffew | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,019 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | xiafanazeng | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,014 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 78,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$216 +19% | 3 |
| 175d | PmDerek2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,518 | +$21 +0.4% | 2 |
| 175d | hpwl | 78,000 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,211 | −$658 −20% | — |
| 175d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,651 | +$36 +1.3% | 2 |
| 175d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,104 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | nishuoshishajiushisha | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,022 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,291 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | buyonghuifu | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,012 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | xiaocangshengshisb | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | chouchoudepanda | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,022 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | Lexey11 | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,285 | −$77 −2.3% | — |
| 175d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,025 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.