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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76,000 | 100% | +10 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +76 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173d |  Miffffy | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,968 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Timely-Expansionism | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,222 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Wary-Gemsbok | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | Grubby-Haircut | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,649 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 173d |  olegs | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,142 | +$42 +1.0% | 2 |
| 173d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,954 | +$40 +1.0% | 2 |
| 173d | kai-xin | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 173d | averagerandomman4 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $8,513 | +$2,670 +31% | 4 |
| 173d | CorentinStakes2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $6,062 | +$1,719 +28% | 4 |
| 173d | baba1443 | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$43 +3.1% | 2 |
| 173d | ylnopU | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,866 | +$120 +3.1% | 2 |
| 173d | 0x4773…2289 | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,993 | +$123 +3.1% | 2 |
| 173d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,691 | +$83 +3.1% | 2 |
| 173d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,703 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,431 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 173d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,278 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 174d |  Facaie | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,713 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 78,000 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $2,318 | −$2,318 −100% | 7 |
| 174d | Grubby-Haircut | 78,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,487 | +$1,087 +24% | 5 |
| 174d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,037 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d |  ZeinST2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,427 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | wtde | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | onekey09 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,910 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 174d | WanTonMee | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,300 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | deranged | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,405 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 174d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,794 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 174d |  VasiliSko | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,137 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | porsche718caymans | 78,000 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,209 | −$1,209 −100% | 5 |
| 174d | slerf789 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,091 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | Kirilli | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,556 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | Funboyboy | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,740 | +$23 +0.2% | 2 |
| 174d | Defiant-WreckNew account | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 174d |  Tttyh | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | PmDerek4 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,379 | +$39 +0.2% | 2 |
| 174d | PmDerek2 fills | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,352 | −$27 −0.2% | — |
| 174d | dfghjsdtgt | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 174d | AnonymousPerson | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,016 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | averagerandomman | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,766 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 174d | PmDerek3 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $15,787 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 174d | fsasdf | 80,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,002 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 174d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,961 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 174d |  Cayou | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,126 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 174d | Tianhe | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 |
| 174d | Incognitoo | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,973 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 174d | YUIKYFUHJJFG | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,023 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | XFDHNGCFJHNFGCH | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | FDCUJHYT | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,022 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | RDYHSRFYHG | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | Stunning-PastryNew account | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | DGFGFKJHG | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | DFGHGJKLIU | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | sdggkklhk | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | HDFYTFJIUTD | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,007 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | DSFDFGHYJYGU | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | Knobby-ThemeNew account | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,007 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | FGTDFUHYGI | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | Luminous-PhotoreceptorNew account | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | uykgggioyolyuf | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,022 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | SRFDFXYHTRF | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 174d | sdfhgfkhgli | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,020 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 76,000 means the market gives it about 100%.