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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +14 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −28 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +59 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d |  Miffffy | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,198 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Winding-Assessment | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,722 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Spectacular-UnderwireNew account | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,738 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Timely-Expansionism | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,621 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,960 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Parallel-Outcome | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,118 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | KaelNevermore | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,716 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | KaelNevermore | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,188 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Marlextreme | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,349 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | jc222 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | 12808f07 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,134 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | CorentinStakes | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,689 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 169d |  Nero.zt | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,298 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d |  Zeta8000 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,338 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 170d |  ZeinST | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | CorentinStakes | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,300 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | Rust701 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | +$66 +1.1% | 2 |
| 170d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,920 | +$205 +4.2% | 2 |
| 170d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $4,214 | +$2,092 +50% | 4 |
| 170d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,871 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,934 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | ZeinST | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,112 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d |  shtanga0x-x | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | edseah | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,470 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | GoingGangrene | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | PmDerek2 fills | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,150 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 170d | PmDerek | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,235 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | CrazyCapital | 76,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$273 +14% | 3 |
| 170d | PmDerek | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,490 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | watersand | 76,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$353 +18% | 3 |
| 170d | watersand | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,375 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 170d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,081 | +$1,066 +35% | 4 |
| 170d | detoxification | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,509 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | vetmin | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 170d | 12QWAQA | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,168 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 170d | Mizukaze2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,262 | +$54 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | averagerandomman | 76,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$379 +37% | 4 |
| 170d | Oleksi1 | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 170d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,630 | +$37 +0.8% | 2 |
| 170d |  zyq666 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,148 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | hyx666 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,305 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | SkyLove7 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d |  Tttyh2 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,434 | +$96 +4.0% | 2 |
| 170d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,914 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 170d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,918 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 170d | WanTonMee3 fills | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,090 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | mxkaslj | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,197 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | Mivindos | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,277 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | grufguuraiyy | 76,000 | SellYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$879 −85% | — |
| 170d | 0x56e4…e0dc2 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $7,000 | −$7,000 −100% | 6 |
| 170d | HGDSdftr | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
| 170d | WillaRose | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,912 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | EdenFaye | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,015 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | HIJjjj | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$16 +1.4% | 2 |
| 170d | Shocked-Statement | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,045 | −$19 −0.4% | — |
| 170d | DFsDASD | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$12 +1.2% | 2 |
| 170d | Whispered-Alert | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,026 | −$15 −0.3% | — |
| 170d | wrthshgd | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 170d | SDsdasu | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$21 +1.9% | 2 |
LaPoutreDu0640,494 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 72,000 means the market gives it about 100%.