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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −20 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195d | 0x85ee…59a2 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,361 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  Facaie | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,020 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | VictoriousIV | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,287 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  lata | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,500 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | ascetic0x | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,898 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Lexey11 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,805 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | lankeleads | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,485 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | jiajia00 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,267 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Thin-Print | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $14,267 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Navigator77 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,544 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Musty-Clay | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,222 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | MU247 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,028 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  upont2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,387 | +$42 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | 0x9fa15722f9d6a56d6c204ce5d4880874a60b335d | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,427 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 195d | Snappy-Estimate | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,525 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 195d | noloainakaila | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,422 | +$28 +0.6% | 2 |
| 195d | claudecoder34 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  Tttyh | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Noteagle | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 195d | XVFlow | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,983 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | rakitit | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,128 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 195d | Xgs | 68,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$42 +3.4% | 2 |
| 195d | Kapforut | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,543 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 195d | 0x9fa15722f9d6a56d6c204ce5d4880874a60b335d | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,168 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 195d | sorrymom8888 | 68,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$8 −0.8% | — |
| 195d | ZZXZZ | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,749 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  VasiliSko | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,766 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d |  cadiz | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,993 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | Kapforut | 66,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,968 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 195d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,246 | +$35 +0.8% | 2 |
| 195d | Seongyoun | 66,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 195d | jidong9808 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,624 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | Snappy-Estimate | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,516 | +$11 +0.7% | 2 |
| 195d | lankeleads | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,420 | +$16 +1.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Tttyh | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,806 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Lighthearted-Purse | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 195d | Mizukaze | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,141 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Mizukaze | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,347 | +$42 +1.3% | 2 |
| 195d | Tttyh | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,806 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Illustrious-Notebook | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,999 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | detoxification | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,995 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | edseah2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,913 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | kklim74 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Tttyh2 fills | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $16,272 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Tttyh2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,635 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Krag676 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,591 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | angelax | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,131 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 195d | shaguashiwo | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,843 | +$31 +0.8% | 2 |
| 195d | WanTonMee2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,358 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | VictoriousIV | 68,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,796 | −$71 −1.5% | — |
| 195d | Lexey11 | 66,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,764 | +$40 +2.3% | 2 |
| 195d | Lexey11 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,770 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 195d |  onchainbuda | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,098 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 195d | Dimpled-Croissant | 66,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$30 +2.7% | 2 |
| 195d | sorrymom8888 | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
| 195d | XVFlow | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,955 | +$39 +0.1% | 2 |
| 195d | Xgs | 66,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,271 | +$46 +2.0% | 2 |
| 195d | wenxi618 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,013 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | shaguashiwo | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,238 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 195d | Thin-Print2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,679 | +$203 +1.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 60,000 means the market gives it about 100%.