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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63d | honk75 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,066 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | supermeow | 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | mulpodsa852 fills | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,817 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 63d |  ZeinST | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,290 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d |  Tttyh3 fills | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,888 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | Tttyh2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,436 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Mizukaze | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,089 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,153 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Mizukaze | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,977 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | slkdjkljnkngeljklj | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$15 +0.7% | 2 |
| 63d | Tttyh4 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $56,375 | +$94 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | hersoan2025 | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,010 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 63d | ndjkasn2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,371 | +$52 +2.2% | 2 |
| 63d | ndjkasn | 62,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,195 | −$11 −0.9% | — |
| 63d |  VasiliSko | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 63d |  walnascar | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,497 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | YautjaPM2 | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,530 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | Rust701 | 62,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | −$37 −1.8% | — |
| 63d | atkw | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | VasiliSko3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $18,405 | +$335 +1.8% | 2 |
| 63d | Tttyh7 fills | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $36,278 | −$41 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | Candela | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,246 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | detoxification | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 63d | onlyhit | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$52 +2.4% | 2 |
| 63d | Gregarious-Distribution | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,783 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d |  CHINANO1 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,818 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Navigator77 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,660 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Doomster | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,106 | +$73 +2.4% | 2 |
| 63d | Dou123 | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | +$26 +2.5% | 2 |
| 63d | Incognitoo | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$51 +2.6% | 2 |
| 63d | dotzlersimona48c | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,149 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | averagerandomman3 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,299 | +$42 +1.3% | 2 |
| 63d | averagerandomman | 62,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$30 +2.8% | 2 |
| 63d | Bigold | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,200 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Overcooked-Spinach | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,700 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 63d | 0xzig | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,200 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | supalien | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,700 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Gozila | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,900 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d |  GoodLuck68886 | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 63d | anon.1980.123 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,028 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 63d | KFai | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,607 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | TraceView | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,185 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | PathLens | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,617 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | CopyOdds | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,446 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | ReflectLens | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,010 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | MirrorOutcome | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,658 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d |  BnB-Chasiu | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | bearstodamoon | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,343 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | bearstodamoon | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,513 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | PmDerek | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | Rust701 | 62,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$85 +4.3% | 2 |
| 64d | PmDerek | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | yiwu2 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,502 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | yiliu | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,133 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | YautjaPM2 | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,526 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | nearping | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 64d | lijpeniels | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,108 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | anon.1980.123 | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$14 +1.2% | 2 |
| 64d | TangS4189 | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 64d | averagerandomman | 60,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$17 +1.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.