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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >118k | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >120k | 0% | −14 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >116k | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >122k | 0% | −2 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >126 | 0% | 0 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >124k | 0% | −2 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >114k | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >112k | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 425d |  UwO | >116k | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,521 | +$813 +18% | 3 |
| 425d |  HaileyWelch | >116k | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $2,851 | −$1,165 −41% | — |
| 425d | HaileyWelch4 fills | >116k | BuyYes42¢ → 100¢ | $7,293 | +$9,954 +136% | 7 |
| 425d | rwo | >114k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,710 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | HaileyWelch13 fills | >116k | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $40,707 | −$40,707 −100% | 4 |
| 425d | rwo | >118k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,403 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | CryZ | >116k | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $1,437 | −$1,437 −100% | 3 |
| 425d | HaileyWelch2 fills | >114k | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,430 | +$589 +7.9% | 3 |
| 425d |  prescient | >122k | SellNo>99¢ | $3,225 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 425d | 0xa95bfdb | >116k | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $3,555 | −$3,555 −100% | 4 |
| 425d | ahmedxa | >120k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | affs20791 | >114k | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$280 +7.5% | 3 |
| 425d | drborrowedtime2 fills | >114k | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $8,800 | +$1,200 +14% | 3 |
| 425d | AZwater | >122k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,104 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 425d | YoungAndFree | >120k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,762 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xe3da…a0f92 fills | >126 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,754 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xd5f5…ea4e | >122k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,833 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 425d | prescient | >122k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,221 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xd5f5…ea4e5 fills | >118k | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $20,736 | +$3,880 +19% | 3 |
| 425d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | >118k | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,732 | −$264 −7.1% | — |
| 425d |  Miffffy | >118k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$57 +4.2% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xb68a…c568 | >118k | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,975 | −$254 −6.4% | — |
| 425d | 0xd5f5…ea4e3 fills | >120k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,744 | +$251 +1.7% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xd5f5…ea4e | >118k | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $3,154 | −$692 −22% | — |
| 425d | HaileyWelch8 fills | >118k | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $18,440 | +$15,045 +82% | 3 |
| 425d | printa6 fills | >118k | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $14,005 | +$13,007 +93% | 3 |
| 425d | petya2 fills | >124k | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,636 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 425d | HaileyWelch7 fills | >118k | BuyYes52¢ → 0¢ | $17,812 | −$17,812 −100% | 3 |
| 425d |  Arilo | >120k | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 425d | 0xb5fc…5ca44 fills | >122k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $9,274 | +$3,486 +38% | 2 |
| 425d | Arilo2 fills | >118k | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $17,000 | −$17,000 −100% | 4 |
| 425d | 0xe3da…a0f95 fills | >120k | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $21,134 | +$2,916 +14% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xe3da…a0f93 fills | >118k | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $9,659 | +$9,674 +100% | 3 |
| 425d | asdfgo | >120k | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,424 | +$346 +6.4% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | >126 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,638 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 425d | 0xb68a…c568 | >124k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,355 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 425d | stonearc | >118k | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 426d | 0xe3da…a0f95 fills | >122k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $23,754 | +$869 +3.7% | 2 |
| 426d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >120k | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $8,850 | +$1,150 +13% | 2 |
| 426d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >118k | SellNo48¢ → 100¢ | $3,810 | −$4,211 −111% | — |
| 426d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >118k | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $3,983 | +$4,143 +104% | 4 |
| 426d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | >120k | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | +$700 +16% | 3 |
| 426d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >118k | SellYes49¢ → 0¢ | $4,654 | +$4,654 +100% | — |
| 426d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | >118k | BuyYes72¢ → 0¢ | $6,759 | −$6,759 −100% | 2 |
| 426d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | >118k | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $3,702 | +$5,317 +144% | 5 |
| 426d | savagee | >126 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,415 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 428d | kederrac2 fills | >118k | BuyYes43¢ → 0¢ | $6,155 | −$6,155 −100% | 5 |
| 428d | kederrac | >120k | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 7 |
| 428d | HaileyWelch3 fills | >120k | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $5,882 | +$3,747 +64% | 3 |
| 428d | HaileyWelch3 fills | >122k | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $10,777 | +$2,091 +19% | 2 |
| 428d | 0xa95bfdb | >124k | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 2 |
| 428d | 0xb68a…c568 | >118k | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,200 | +$2,200 +100% | — |
| 428d | 0xb68a…c568 | >118k | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 3 |
| 429d | printa2 fills | >122k | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $6,516 | +$1,430 +22% | 2 |
| 429d | HaileyWelch | >120k | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,571 | −$1,571 −100% | 3 |
| 429d | 0xa95bfdb | >122k | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 2 |
| 429d | 0xa95bfdb | >118k | BuyNo38¢ → 100¢ | $1,710 | +$2,790 +163% | 4 |
| 429d | 0xa95bfdb | >120k | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$1,175 +89% | 3 |
| 429d | HaileyWelch | >124k | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,914 | +$1,468 +30% | 2 |
| 429d | 0xb5fc…5ca4 | >120k | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,359 | −$1,359 −100% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for >118k means the market gives it about 0%.