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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +21 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 52,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d | Mizukaze | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Mizukaze2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,448 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d |  upont | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,420 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | upont2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,342 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d |  VasiliSko2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,512 | +$78 +0.7% | 2 |
| 71d | Navigator77 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,930 | +$42 +0.3% | 2 |
| 71d | Navigator77 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,034 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | Navigator77 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,900 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | TangS4189 | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Rust7012 fills | 66,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,639 | −$88 −2.4% | — |
| 71d | Paul973973 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,300 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  olegs | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,257 | +$69 +1.3% | 2 |
| 71d | TangS4189 | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 71d | Rust7012 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$227 +6.5% | 2 |
| 71d |  Tttyh4 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,457 | +$42 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | wendydream | 66,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | +$167 +7.6% | 3 |
| 71d | WanTonMee | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,049 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  FXC | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,043 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d | TangS4189 | 64,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | −$31 −2.6% | — |
| 71d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $7,050 | +$277 +3.9% | 2 |
| 71d | easypredict2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,112 | +$367 +12% | 2 |
| 71d | Tttyh3 fills | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,272 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 71d | CelestialChronicle | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,119 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 71d | olegs | 64,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,303 | +$71 +3.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  leleko2k2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,089 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d | Soulful-Founder | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Soulful-Founder | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d | 0xf705…3ca717 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $33,354 | +$2,056 +6.2% | 2 |
| 71d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 66,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,112 | +$78 +7.0% | 3 |
| 71d | Xgs | 64,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,799 | +$95 +5.3% | 2 |
| 71d | gamepol | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d |  GoodLuck68886 | 66,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,565 | −$87 −5.6% | — |
| 71d | Kovan | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,079 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 71d | Candela | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,660 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d | Glennraven | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,393 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 71d | kingofcoinflips6 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $9,307 | +$4,067 +44% | 3 |
| 71d | 0xf705…3ca77 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,228 | +$130 +0.7% | 2 |
| 71d |  Jonelyana | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  Harli | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,315 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  Rydenton | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,234 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | daidaihaofei3 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $3,885 | −$3,885 −100% | 8 |
| 71d |  Onnanee | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,250 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Tttyh3 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,489 | +$32 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Navigator77 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,900 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Navigator77 | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$46 +0.6% | 2 |
| 71d |  Kimosef | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,390 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | onlyhit | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$20 +1.2% | 2 |
| 71d |  Cokeito | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  Nanin-816 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,471 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  Vani | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,315 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  Uary | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,421 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | Jonaca | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d |  Nkeendeli | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,230 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | leleko2k | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,395 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | bearstodamoon2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,538 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 71d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $15,060 | +$241 +1.6% | 2 |
| 71d | Tttyh2 fills | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,667 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 71d |  leowei2025 | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 71d | Tttyh2 fills | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $18,560 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | Tttyh | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,015 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
715364982010,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.