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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | 100% | +97 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +87 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +62 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +29 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +9 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 319d |  Miffffy | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,498 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | GrindOrHustle | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,526 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | 0xkoda | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,772 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | patman747 | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,944 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | 0xkoda | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,022 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | 0xkoda | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,365 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | 0xkoda | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,810 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Qiusheng | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,850 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | vicpips | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,430 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Thin-Print | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,838 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Thin-Print | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,995 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Thomaslolxd | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,379 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Thin-Print | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $22,649 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 319d |  olegs | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,989 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d |  auhnqwed1 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,956 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | J88688 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,218 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | shifei028 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,142 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | TheInscrutableMaverick | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,461 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | shi-027 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,127 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | fei026 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,107 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d |  BoringPunter3 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $34,581 | +$54 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d | easymoney3 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,194 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d |  Sik0 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,312 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Thin-Print | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,119 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | olddogalpha | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,131 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d | ilaughbird | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,025 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d | Aggravating-Treaty2 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,580 | +$149 +2.7% | 2 |
| 319d | brr694204 fills | 90,000 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,686 | −$441 −7.8% | — |
| 319d | sdEinsiedl | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$32 +2.3% | 2 |
| 319d | plzdontdropout | 90,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,706 | −$248 −5.3% | — |
| 319d | brr69420 | 90,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | +$55 +5.3% | 2 |
| 319d | arbandy | 90,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $16,300 | −$858 −5.3% | — |
| 319d | BoringPunter | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,303 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | Momay | 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,009 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 319d | li018 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,032 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | Thin-Print3 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $10,203 | +$1,397 +14% | 3 |
| 319d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced136 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $17,583 | +$4,091 +23% | 4 |
| 319d |  moomoomoo5 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $20,897 | +$226 +1.1% | 2 |
| 319d | naruto-japper | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | ioijhffg | 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 319d |  Sapphirus | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,164 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 319d | abababa | 90,000 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | −$226 −15% | — |
| 319d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced133 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,480 | +$550 +10% | 3 |
| 319d | brr694202 fills | 92,000 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,318 | −$350 −11% | — |
| 319d | GrindOrHustle | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,520 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d |  noreasapa | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,395 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | Aggravating-Treaty | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,739 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 319d | vvela | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,368 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d | predictrader | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,295 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d |  largeleeks8885 fills | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,746 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Thin-Print | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,608 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 319d | ReNtHaL | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 319d | Thin-Print | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$26 +2.3% | 2 |
| 319d | Juju49 | 90,000 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$608 −55% | — |
| 319d | kutaiek | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | xnjkjk | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,003 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 319d | Juju49 | 90,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$513 +43% | 5 |
| 319d |  ROAS369 | 88,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,183 | −$45 −2.0% | — |
| 319d | vvela | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,984 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 319d | averagerandomman | 92,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,727 | +$636 +23% | 4 |
OnlyBUYNO50,000 shares
samhain4ik1,500 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 90,000 means the market gives it about 100%.