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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | 0% | −21 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +44 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +13 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 298d | CHIB666 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 299d | Thin-Print | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $33,702 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 299d | Twenty9 | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,915 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 299d | CHIB666 | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,186 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 299d | hustleday | 90,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,219 | −$33 −1.0% | — |
| 299d | Parched-Banking | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,258 | +$53 +1.0% | 2 |
| 299d | hello-teemo | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 299d | noloainakaila | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | +$29 +1.0% | 2 |
| 299d |  PredictionYogi | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,575 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d |  Erka-RoadTo1M | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,045 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d |  2121212121 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,000 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 299d | 1881aa | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,110 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 299d | nenya | 90,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$143 +9.9% | 3 |
| 299d |  psychicpsychic | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,587 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced137 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $11,939 | +$6,193 +52% | 5 |
| 299d | naruto-japper | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | naruto-japper | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | located3 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,658 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | KZMr | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,495 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 299d | psychicpsychic | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,994 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | pedrosanchez69 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,196 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | 2121212121 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,000 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | Dead-Dinosaur | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 299d | BTCHEDGEFUND | 90,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$760 +61% | 5 |
| 299d |  UwO | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,098 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | apium8711 | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 299d | Erka-RoadTo1M | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced13 | 90,000 | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,568 | −$1,568 −100% | 6 |
| 299d | Alpha4343 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,877 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced132 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,582 | +$98 +3.8% | 2 |
| 299d | Bulky-Axis | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | Bulky-Axis | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,261 | +$22 +0.4% | 2 |
| 299d | l-love-you2 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,161 | +$122 +5.7% | 2 |
| 299d | vminthacked | 92,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$27 +1.2% | 2 |
| 299d | jdyljdyl | 88,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,002 | +$165 +3.3% | 2 |
| 299d |  thecrypto3413284 | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,236 | +$51 +1.6% | 2 |
| 299d | HuatzTTM | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,782 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | l-love-you | 92,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | +$26 +1.6% | 2 |
| 299d | giftedbytheforest | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,604 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | PmDerek | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,027 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 299d | PmDerek | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,131 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | penguinrainbows | 88,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$47 +3.1% | 2 |
| 299d | jhk6867 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | kwo62920 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | Thin-Print3 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,028 | +$474 +4.7% | 2 |
| 299d | edseah | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,913 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | nony1748 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,806 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | sadsadsadfz2 fills | 90,000 | SellYes39¢ → 0¢ | $3,262 | +$3,262 +100% | — |
| 299d | bitbin | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | honghux | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,112 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | PmDerek5 fills | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,684 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 299d | honghux | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,606 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | PmDerek6 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,834 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 299d | Thin-Print3 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $18,122 | +$750 +4.1% | 2 |
| 299d | dsdfvv | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,550 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | VOLaaas | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,176 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | usejpy | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,103 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d |  Veytrix | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,602 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 299d | XVFlow | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
PROValueBetting5,095 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 90,000 means the market gives it about 0%.