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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | Tempting-Television | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $15,682 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | Thin-Print | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,576 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | VGKAKAXI | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,975 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | lontou | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,943 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 289d |  2121212121 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,000 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | miraman | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,896 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d |  Hunter1207 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,309 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 289d | geraldhew89 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 289d | hello-teemo | 88,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,124 | +$43 +2.0% | 2 |
| 289d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896616 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $14,172 | +$5,510 +39% | 4 |
| 289d | kjjjjjp | 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,953 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 289d |  NoMuHyun0901 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,048 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 289d | phambitious | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,959 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 289d | kjjjjjp | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,893 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | lontou | 88,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $4,761 | +$2,139 +45% | 5 |
| 289d |  olegs | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,446 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d | piagopilva | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,022 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d | kjjjjjp2 fills | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,319 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b89661 | 88,000 | BuyYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,176 | −$1,176 −100% | 5 |
| 289d | 21212121212 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 289d | Thin-Print | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,434 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | VGKAKAXI | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,856 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 289d | KZMr | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,897 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 289d | allen1112 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,376 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 290d | jajadabi | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,574 | +$34 +0.6% | 2 |
| 290d | jajadabi | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,855 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d |  Kael. | 90,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 290d | Mahalex4 | 88,000 | SellYes58¢ → 0¢ | $1,186 | +$1,186 +100% | — |
| 290d | pedrosanchez69 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,696 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d | daojiao1ge3 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,596 | +$60 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d | alsonline | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,861 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d |  largeleeks888 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,061 | +$27 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d | jojomumu019 | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,052 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 290d | jojomumu019 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,052 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 290d | geraldhew892 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d | jojomumu019 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,053 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d | insila | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d |  Jelle-99-Arc | 88,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$797 +70% | 5 |
| 290d | d0d | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,338 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d | claudecoder34 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,717 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 290d | averagerandomman | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$24 +1.2% | 2 |
| 290d | pablosanchez | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,196 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d | Fond-Robe | 88,000 | SellYes52¢ → 0¢ | $1,039 | +$1,039 +100% | — |
| 290d | ausTaiwan | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d | sirenm | 88,000 | SellNo46¢ → 100¢ | $1,414 | −$1,656 −117% | — |
| 290d | jjmenezj | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 290d |  moomoomoo2 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,226 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 |
| 290d |  UwO | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,382 | +$95 +1.0% | 2 |
| 290d | phambitious | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,943 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 290d | averagerandomman | 90,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,589 | +$134 +2.0% | 2 |
| 290d | doshshirl | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d | Bulky-Axis | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 290d | lontou | 88,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 3 |
| 290d | mangtou | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,112 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 290d | bitbin | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,370 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d | Bulky-Axis | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d | AngryPancake | 88,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,012 | −$1,012 −100% | 3 |
| 290d | easypredict | 88,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $2,788 | −$2,788 −100% | 3 |
| 290d | lnarix2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,398 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 290d |  yeondu | 88,000 | SellYes90¢ → 0¢ | $1,011 | +$1,011 +100% | — |
Fartard1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 88,000 means the market gives it about 0%.