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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92,000 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +4 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | IOR | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,367 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,145 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 316d | paniagua | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,087 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | Flashy-Building | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $27,827 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | Testy-Luck | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,011 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | 6767 | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,250 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | heckno | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,711 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | heckno | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,776 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | Whispered-String | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,578 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | HesHIm | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,171 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | xxSecretSaucexx | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,018 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | xxSecretSaucexx | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,167 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | kol8848 | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,120 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | Chapter6 | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,791 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,478 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 316d | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,966 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 316d | kol8848 | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,112 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 316d | predictrader | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 316d | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,700 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 316d | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 316d | KoralllBrant | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,175 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 316d | jijihaoda | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,479 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 316d | dtgdfchb453210 | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,343 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 316d | newitt | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,799 | +$19 +0.5% | 2 |
| 316d | 13s1d5a | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,988 | +$103 +1.0% | 2 |
| 316d | amused85 | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,779 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 316d | alex445s | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,508 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 316d | wocaonimaLGB | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,535 | +$22 +0.4% | 2 |
| 316d | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,408 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 316d | btc1eth | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,829 | +$67 +0.5% | 2 |
| 316d | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,675 | +$33 +1.2% | 2 | |
| 316d | Chapter6 | 92,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$94 +4.3% | 2 |
| 316d | XVFlow | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,006 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 316d | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,984 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 316d | edseah | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,363 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 316d | noloainakaila | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,617 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 317d | Thin-Print | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,569 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,652 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 317d | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,469 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 317d | 94,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,839 | +$276 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 317d | Testy-Luck | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,652 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 317d | 0x6f2628a8ac6e3f7bd857657d5316c33822ced134 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $9,926 | +$544 +5.5% | 2 |
| 317d | AZwater | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,477 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | vvela | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,653 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 317d | li-38 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,013 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | Aggravating-Treaty | 92,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,525 | +$155 +10% | 3 |
| 317d | lishifei039 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | Thin-Print | 94,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $4,786 | +$395 +8.3% | 3 |
| 317d | Whispered-String | 92,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$142 +9.8% | 3 |
| 317d | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,096 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 317d | vvela | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | xxSecretSaucexx | 94,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,133 | +$35 +3.1% | 2 |
| 317d | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,138 | −$2 −0.2% | — | |
| 317d | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,801 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 317d | hglikjhgb41052 | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,843 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | 94,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,821 | +$108 +2.2% | 2 | |
| 317d | vminthacked | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,576 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | mizellwehrley | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,143 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 317d | averagerandomman | 94,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$57 +5.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 92,000 means the market gives it about 100%.