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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70,000 | 0% | −62 pts | −71 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | −25 pts | −70 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | +10 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 248d |  Joking22 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,000 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 248d |  BlackswanHunter | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,628 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 248d | High-Level-Clan | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,329 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 248d | onekey09 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,215 | +$32 +0.1% | 2 |
| 248d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 70,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,473 | −$27 −0.6% | — |
| 248d |  FXC3 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,918 | +$53 +0.5% | 2 |
| 248d | SkyLove7 | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 248d | giftedbytheforest | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$38 +1.0% | 2 |
| 248d |  MarsianinY | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 248d | zoquendo3 fills | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,645 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 248d |  BRG94 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,391 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 248d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,914 | +$688 +12% | 3 |
| 248d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 70,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$151 +12% | 3 |
| 249d |  lavendertown | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | XVFlow2 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,506 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 249d |  GUSENTUM | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,884 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | Moneyyes | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,562 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | SkyLove7 | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,195 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 249d |  HowToBasic | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 249d | Kirilli | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,326 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 249d | toanhtoanh | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,619 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | nony1748 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,500 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | zoquendo2 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,100 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 249d | edseah | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,524 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | PmDerek2 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,656 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | kungfukid | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,540 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | PmDerek7 fills | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $33,968 | −$75 −0.2% | — |
| 249d |  dukunmarket | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | dukunmarket | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | kissbabyy | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,025 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 249d | iamgone | 68,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,315 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 249d | Real-Haversack | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,032 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 249d | achaacha | 68,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$23 +2.0% | 2 |
| 249d | jhtc3 fills | 70,000 | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $11,318 | −$1,631 −14% | — |
| 249d | natalierowe | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,553 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 249d | carlos45 | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,562 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 249d | KaelNevermore | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,215 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 249d | shengkun | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 249d | Joking22 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 249d | Gingerale1809 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,876 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 249d | bambooza | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,771 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 249d |  bobby467 | 70,000 | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 249d | Joking22 | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,002 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 249d | iamgone | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,510 | +$42 +0.4% | 2 |
| 249d |  upont4 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,283 | +$96 +0.5% | 2 |
| 249d | vyyv | 72,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,776 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 249d |  AcctToBeRetired2 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,073 | +$51 +0.3% | 2 |
| 249d | pablosanchez | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,092 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 249d | deeeadf | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,799 | +$15 +0.5% | 2 |
| 249d | hersoan2025 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,100 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 249d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $10,693 | +$1,975 +18% | 2 |
| 249d | BTCGOOSE | 70,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$128 +6.4% | 3 |
| 249d |  Unpicked8974 | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$20 +1.4% | 2 |
| 249d | jhtc3 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $10,372 | +$2,577 +25% | 3 |
| 249d | Illustrious-Notebook | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 249d | Kirilli | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,322 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 249d | 45454655 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $21,985 | +$703 +3.2% | 2 |
| 249d | 45454652 fills | 72,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,729 | −$96 −0.9% | — |
| 249d | averagerandomman | 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,590 | +$26 +1.0% | 2 |
| 249d | reuben-11 | 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,552 | +$36 +1.0% | 2 |
Fartard6,195 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 70,000 means the market gives it about 0%.