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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68,000 | 100% | +84 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | +50 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +19 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +7 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245d | whodis - 12708 | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,673 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | 1234p | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,896 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | ghrbgfghrf23 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,196 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | aliyahderson2 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,096 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | rderry1 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,796 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | meganebalistreri2 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | andrewupton3 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,096 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | letien3352c | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,896 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | tan607230 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,196 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | kjgvgg90 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,796 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | Thin-Print | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,761 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | Thin-Print | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,489 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | moon009 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,797 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | Profile-Setting | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,134 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | velementor | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,233 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | hiddeninworld | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,097 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | 45454652 fills | 70,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,740 | −$67 −0.8% | — |
| 245d | High-Level-Clan | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,356 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | KaelNevermore | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | lanxbaba | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | iamgone3 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $47,936 | +$253 +0.5% | 2 |
| 245d | Other-Walkway | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | ChainRebel | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,487 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d |  GUSENTUM3 fills | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,246 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | Schpiro | 68,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,908 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 245d | zoquendo2 fills | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,861 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | Sadmonkeynoises | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,148 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 245d | kulcrypto | 68,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,094 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 245d | polbot2 | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,047 | +$30 +0.2% | 2 |
| 245d | baileyleslie | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,944 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | noloainakaila | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,091 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 245d | leo13456 | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,512 | +$69 +1.1% | 2 |
| 245d |  psychicpsychic | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $32,015 | +$32 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | washedkeepsclicking | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,312 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d |  zeroprobability | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d |  GregSharp | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,987 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | averagerandomman2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $5,184 | +$844 +16% | 3 |
| 245d | onekey09 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | HLT.T | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d |  HowToBasic | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d |  0x66b71 | 68,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | +$79 +5.9% | 2 |
| 245d | 0x66b71 | 66,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,351 | −$12 −0.9% | — |
| 245d | 0x66b71 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,361 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | mojitoforwin | 68,000 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,933 | −$249 −8.5% | — |
| 245d | debbiewade | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,746 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 245d | debbiewade | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,000 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | Haadf | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | Profile-Setting | 68,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,034 | +$102 +5.0% | 2 |
| 245d |  Garibaldi43b | 68,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,542 | −$389 −11% | — |
| 245d | 1dayullbeproud | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,497 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 245d | blakesamantha | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,000 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 245d |  3seater | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | tylermunoz | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,959 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 245d | PmDerek6 fills | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,035 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 245d | PmDerek10 fills | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $37,415 | −$77 −0.2% | — |
| 245d | 0xf705…3ca714 fills | 68,000 | SellNo45¢ → 0¢ | $31,157 | +$31,157 +100% | — |
| 245d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $12,124 | −$12,124 −100% | 5 |
| 245d | kklim74 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 245d | 0xf705…3ca717 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $43,030 | −$43,030 −100% | 9 |
Fartard11,804 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 68,000 means the market gives it about 100%.