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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92,000 | 100% | +76 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 100% | +26 pts | +19 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | — | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | — | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 277d | claudecoder34 | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,435 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | claudecoder34 | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,512 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | claudecoder34 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,514 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | Thin-Print | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,564 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | aBDulauaE | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,636 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | jay77888888 | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,134 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | yli188 | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,432 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d |  foxly | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,863 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 277d |  Vokhid | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,266 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | vc-b | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,480 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | lunlimk | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,528 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | dajo1911 | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | zx323 | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | Menacing-EventNew account | 92,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,912 | −$38 −2.0% | — |
| 277d | Thin-Print | 92,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,252 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 277d |  BoringPunter | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,555 | +$49 +0.2% | 2 |
| 277d | Thin-Print3 fills | 92,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $10,758 | +$566 +5.3% | 2 |
| 277d | maru-xan | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,459 | +$55 +1.0% | 2 |
| 277d |  FXC | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,967 | +$33 +1.1% | 2 |
| 277d | lunlimk | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,503 | +$28 +1.1% | 2 |
| 277d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$61 +1.1% | 2 |
| 277d | Menacing-EventNew account | 92,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,928 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 277d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,500 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | Menacing-EventNew account | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,928 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | chad-delectus259 | 92,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$55 +5.0% | 2 |
| 277d | vc-b | 92,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$40 +3.2% | 2 |
| 277d | Sore-ResearchNew account | 92,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | −$72 −5.0% | — |
| 277d |  VULT5 fills | 92,000 | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $32,006 | +$9,116 +28% | 4 |
| 277d | Thin-Print | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $31,937 | −$32 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | foxly | 92,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $5,593 | +$276 +4.9% | 2 |
| 277d |  Mei-ji | 92,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | +$120 +7.0% | 3 |
| 277d | hanlunzhang | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,320 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | foxly | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,593 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896619 fills | 92,000 | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $18,321 | +$21,603 +118% | 7 |
| 277d | claudecoder342 fills | 92,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,612 | +$1,320 +37% | 4 |
| 277d | averagerandomman | 92,000 | BuyNo25¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 277d | FXC2 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,573 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 277d | VULT2 fills | 92,000 | SellNo25¢ → 0¢ | $6,598 | +$6,598 +100% | — |
| 277d | itsmk | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,656 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 277d | JustMME | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,254 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 277d | BoringPunter2 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,604 | +$68 +0.3% | 2 |
| 277d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896618 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $21,163 | −$21,163 −100% | 4 |
| 277d |  GregSharp | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 277d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 92,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,739 | +$1,264 +73% | 5 |
| 277d | laoliuff5 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $32,513 | +$354 +1.1% | 2 |
| 277d | Gentle-Caliber2 fills | 90,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,395 | −$143 −2.6% | — |
| 277d |  HowToBasic | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 277d | Creative-Broom | 92,000 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | −$1,161 −95% | — |
| 277d | PolyBlaster2 fills | 92,000 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $2,572 | −$2,439 −95% | — |
| 277d | fenle2 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,086 | +$26 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | jojolll | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,579 | +$32 +0.3% | 2 |
| 278d | Kirilli | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,731 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | JustMME | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c33 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,295 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,274 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | Smartdrop | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 278d | Definite-Prostanoid | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,479 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 278d | kingwei1988 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,244 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 278d | kingwei1988 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,244 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 278d | VULT5 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $22,200 | +$397 +1.8% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 92,000 means the market gives it about 100%.