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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94,000 | 100% | +13 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | −47 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +64 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | −12 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | — | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | — | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273d | 0x1f25…21a4 | 94,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,440 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 273d |  1olegator | 100,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,015 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | almomi2 fills | 96,000 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $4,837 | −$1,069 −22% | — |
| 273d | amused85 | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Predictandbreathe | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Warped-Idea3 fills | 96,000 | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $3,730 | −$1,244 −33% | — |
| 273d | multistratpooh | 94,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,638 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | Colmenero | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,808 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 273d | aBDulauaE | 94,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $21,975 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | Thin-Print | 94,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,690 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | Thin-Print | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,851 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 274d |  Mcwhales | 94,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,503 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | MartaKol | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,038 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | RekMyAds | 96,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,123 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | kejuezz038 | 94,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,244 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | zoquendo | 94,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,600 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d |  rgalyeon | 94,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,044 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | iamgone2 fills | 94,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,794 | +$37 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 94,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,039 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d | Warped-Idea2 fills | 96,000 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,614 | +$2,359 +90% | 4 |
| 274d |  moomoomoo5 fills | 96,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $11,983 | +$569 +4.8% | 2 |
| 274d | stay | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d | 0x1f25…21a4 | 94,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,417 | +$26 +0.8% | 2 |
| 274d | queche | 96,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,456 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d | iamgone2 fills | 96,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,222 | +$104 +1.3% | 2 |
| 274d |  foxly | 94,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,048 | +$43 +1.4% | 2 |
| 274d |  lavendertown | 96,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$31 +1.0% | 2 |
| 274d | claudecoder34 | 94,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,160 | −$40 −3.5% | — |
| 274d | foxly | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,048 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 274d | zx323 | 94,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$23 +2.0% | 2 |
| 274d | lavendertown3 fills | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,000 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | stay | 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,149 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | penguinrainbows2 fills | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | PmDerek | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,156 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | zoquendo | 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,156 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | RekMyAds | 96,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,081 | +$46 +1.1% | 2 |
| 274d | cripes3 | 90,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | Moneyyes | 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,465 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | averagerandomman | 96,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$31 +3.1% | 2 |
| 274d | Valid-Processing | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,639 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 274d |  yolo.predict | 92,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,993 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d | Mcwhales | 94,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$205 +8.9% | 3 |
| 274d | vminthacked | 92,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 274d | 0xf705…3ca78 fills | 96,000 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $29,584 | −$4,863 −16% | — |
| 274d |  WilliamNaka2 fills | 94,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,500 | +$440 +9.8% | 3 |
| 274d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 94,000 | SellNo19¢ → 0¢ | $4,842 | +$4,842 +100% | — |
| 274d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | 94,000 | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $9,807 | −$9,807 −100% | 17 |
| 274d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896615 fills | 94,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $17,827 | +$4,073 +23% | 3 |
| 274d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 94,000 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $17,506 | −$2,298 −13% | — |
| 274d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | 94,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $16,179 | +$2,623 +16% | 3 |
| 274d | Thin-Print | 96,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,749 | +$209 +3.1% | 2 |
| 274d | Thin-Print2 fills | 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,595 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 274d | WanTonMee3 fills | 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,567 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 274d | WanTonMee | 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,885 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 274d | astrarog | 96,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$46 +3.4% | 2 |
| 274d | astrarog | 98,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,363 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 274d | edseah | 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,707 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 274d |  Donateplease | 96,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 2 |
| 274d | vee173 fills | 92,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,262 | −$82 −0.7% | — |
| 274d | abuzer | 98,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,076 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
71536498204,467 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 94,000 means the market gives it about 100%.