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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88,000 | 100% | +7 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −24 pts | −89 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −64 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −79 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | — | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 264d | Thin-Print | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $15,155 | −$15 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Thin-Print | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,367 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Robertsmith777 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,648 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | JP-Yuina | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,332 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | toonzcraft | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,169 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 264d | Sharky6999 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,578 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | Tonyes | 88,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,495 | +$41 +1.6% | 2 |
| 264d | OptionK2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $9,550 | +$726 +7.6% | 3 |
| 264d | JP-Yuina | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,322 | +$12 +0.9% | 2 |
| 264d | EricaXBT | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d |  dukunmarket3 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$432 +2.9% | 2 |
| 264d | Ryan22 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $129,595 | +$405 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | cipherpilot | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,335 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | 1231123123 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $42,957 | +$43 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  GregSharp2 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,753 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d |  WaitHope2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $31,596 | +$643 +2.0% | 2 |
| 264d | Thin-Print2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,925 | +$314 +4.5% | 2 |
| 264d | soxfeonn | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,457 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | piagopilva | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,185 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | feika | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,591 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $3,609 | −$3,609 −100% | 5 |
| 264d |  cryptomilion | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,030 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | soxfeonn2 fills | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,178 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 264d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,583 | +$1,777 +50% | 5 |
| 264d | naruto-japper | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | zoquendo | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d |  FXC | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | FXC | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,113 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | zoquendo | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | Kindly-ShoatNew account | 88,000 | SellYes60¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | −$1,123 −67% | — |
| 265d | smartttt | 88,000 | SellNo73¢ → 0¢ | $1,402 | +$1,402 +100% | — |
| 265d | salazariq | 88,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $4,667 | −$4,667 −100% | 3 |
| 265d | easypredict | 88,000 | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,815 | +$3,312 +182% | 6 |
| 265d | 5f5a | 88,000 | SellNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,253 | +$1,253 +100% | — |
| 265d | Alpha43432 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,635 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Rocket12 | 88,000 | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | −$1,473 −91% | — |
| 265d | 1337zzz1337 | 88,000 | SellYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | −$998 −76% | — |
| 265d |  upont | 88,000 | SellYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | −$1,289 −120% | — |
| 265d |  UwO | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,770 | +$36 +0.2% | 2 |
| 265d | upont2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,980 | +$120 +4.0% | 2 |
| 265d | upont | 90,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,692 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 265d | d0d | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,158 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | yyds1111 | 90,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 265d | ddthcreator | 88,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,444 | +$37 +2.6% | 2 |
| 265d | edseah | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,446 | +$27 +0.3% | 2 |
| 265d | inno649 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 265d | upont6 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $27,586 | +$674 +2.4% | 2 |
| 265d | pablosanchez | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,677 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | cryptoxu | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,242 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | safor | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,072 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | skyco | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | skyco | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,616 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | mangtou | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d |  dafer | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,065 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | isloni | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | isloni | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,594 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | reuben-11 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,470 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Bright-Teen | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 265d | Kayn4 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,520 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 265d | Kooky-Reset | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
Fartard21,364 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 88,000 means the market gives it about 100%.