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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88,000 | 0% | −28 pts | −87 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −61 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +10 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +33 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −77 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263d | slyfox11 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,212 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | lanxbaba2 fills | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,618 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | pikachu6683 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,732 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | Thin-Print | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $20,065 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | Thin-Print | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $24,146 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,722 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | 88,000 | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $24,294 | −$8,199 −34% | — | |
| 263d | dlnomra | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,164 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | s1encio | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,712 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,014 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 263d | Definite-Prostanoid | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,714 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | suaidd | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,782 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 263d | iamgone3 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $22,114 | +$2,235 +10% | 3 |
| 263d | claudecoder34 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,115 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | powerFeng | 88,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 263d | SkyLove7 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,322 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | AddySG | 88,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,424 | −$255 −18% | — |
| 263d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896619 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $14,519 | +$14,582 +100% | 4 |
| 263d | 88,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$2,155 +20% | 3 | |
| 263d | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,879 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 263d | Soggy-Question | 88,000 | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $1,909 | −$940 −49% | — |
| 263d | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,993 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 263d | lanxbaba | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | 88,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,843 | −$234 −6.1% | — | |
| 263d | dlnomra | 88,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$23 +2.0% | 2 |
| 263d | dlnomra | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,142 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 263d | cripes3 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,065 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 263d | jay77888888 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,951 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | onekey09 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,571 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 264d | 88,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $23,251 | +$9,242 +40% | 4 | |
| 264d | 86,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,167 | +$132 +1.8% | 2 | |
| 264d | pedrosanchez692 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,547 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | MartaS | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,604 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 264d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 88,000 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $3,591 | +$1,850 +52% | 5 |
| 264d | 88,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,666 | +$411 +11% | 3 | |
| 264d | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 264d | easypredict | 88,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,710 | +$225 +8.3% | 3 |
| 264d | Xgs | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,671 | +$20 +1.2% | 2 |
| 264d | scdf | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,016 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | kolper2 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,183 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | Moneyyes | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | averagerandomman2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,832 | +$1,676 +44% | 4 |
| 264d | ThePREDICTORRRR2 fills | 88,000 | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $9,311 | −$2,934 −32% | — |
| 264d | 88,000 | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $3,373 | +$3,373 +100% | — | |
| 264d | edseah3 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,641 | +$27 +0.3% | 2 |
| 264d | penguinrainbows | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | listaRR | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,434 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | averagerandomman | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,877 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | d0d | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,301 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 264d | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,275 | +$34 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 264d | kklim74 | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 264d | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,395 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 264d | ycsc | 88,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 264d | 88,000 | BuyNo29¢ → 100¢ | $1,845 | +$4,535 +246% | 7 | |
| 264d | 88,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 0¢ | $3,981 | −$3,981 −100% | 4 | |
| 264d | nony17484 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,857 | +$26 +0.1% | 2 |
| 264d | nony1748 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,777 | −$23 −0.4% | — |
| 264d | sashaa5 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,339 | +$27 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 88,000 means the market gives it about 0%.