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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86,000 | 100% | +10 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +43 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −14 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262d |  dafer | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,549 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | IwillRichSoon | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,064 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | IwillRichSoon2 fills | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,353 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 262d |  0x66b71 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,156 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Bg7 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,947 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | zoquendo | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | Thin-Print | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,052 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | High-Level-Clan | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,031 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | limit19 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,845 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | iamgone2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,527 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | SkyLove7 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,635 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d |  STkody168 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,714 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 262d |  FXC | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,671 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | zejaeng | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,748 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d |  HowToBasic | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | jay77888888 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,255 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d |  cryptomilion | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,629 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d |  foxly | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,004 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 262d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 262d | Blaze789 | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 262d | cryptomilion | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | Blaut369 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,070 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | iamgone4 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,079 | +$46 +0.3% | 2 |
| 263d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 88,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,607 | +$182 +7.0% | 3 |
| 263d | iamgone | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,037 | +$178 +1.1% | 2 |
| 263d | altuninho | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | easypredict3 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $10,598 | +$1,973 +19% | 3 |
| 263d |  JisaLewin | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,924 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 263d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896615 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $7,684 | +$5,813 +76% | 4 |
| 263d | kklim74 | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,814 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 263d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $4,736 | −$4,736 −100% | 4 |
| 263d | edseah | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,770 | +$26 +0.3% | 2 |
| 263d |  666maga | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 263d | Zigzag-Ambassador | 88,000 | SellNo67¢ → 0¢ | $5,472 | +$5,472 +100% | — |
| 263d | Moneyyes | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,498 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 263d | dravey | 88,000 | SellYes47¢ → 100¢ | $2,599 | −$2,930 −113% | — |
| 263d | phambitious | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,704 | +$21 +0.6% | 2 |
| 263d | reuben-11 | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,477 | +$27 +0.8% | 2 |
| 263d | averagerandomman | 88,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 0¢ | $1,762 | −$1,762 −100% | 5 |
| 263d | vinh67892 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $2,949 | +$4,330 +147% | 6 |
| 263d | limit19 | 88,000 | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$2,349 +157% | 5 |
| 263d | multistratpooh | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,368 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | Zigzag-Ambassador | 88,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $3,991 | −$3,991 −100% | 5 |
| 263d | JustMME | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,270 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | pablosanchez | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,598 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | JustMME | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,425 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | WanTonMee | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,944 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | safor | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,475 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | 0x59BA | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | Litmo | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,106 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | PmDerek2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,118 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | PmDerek2 fills | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,094 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 263d | 1337zzz1337 | 88,000 | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | −$740 −59% | — |
| 263d | satoshiua | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,697 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | 1337zzz1337 | 88,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,599 | +$922 +58% | 5 |
| 263d | dlnomra | 88,000 | SellYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | −$723 −72% | — |
| 263d | plrasrun | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,399 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | dravey2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $3,096 | +$2,433 +79% | 4 |
| 263d | dafer | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,549 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | Thin-Print | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,987 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
0xf3c44v4fv564id99v9dvjj0rv9r5454tf53,781 shares
kiwitrades3,192 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 86,000 means the market gives it about 100%.