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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90,000 | 100% | +48 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 100% | +9 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +33 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286d | 1337zzz1337 | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,840 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 286d |  2121212121 | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,004 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | 7aper | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | kai-xin | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $29,635 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,699 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | inno6492 fills | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,192 | −$11 −0.3% | — |
| 286d |  sezo.eth | 90,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,030 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | lasdkjflkaaff | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,926 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | baba1443 | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 286d | ShadowThong | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,015 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 286d | 00000007 | 90,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,622 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 286d | zoquendo | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 286d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 90,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,901 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 286d | palmetto2 fills | 90,000 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $4,187 | −$545 −13% | — |
| 286d | lasdkjflkaaff | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,936 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | kai-xin2 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $29,182 | +$483 +1.7% | 2 |
| 286d | lasdkjflkaaff | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,956 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | wove0814 | 90,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,106 | +$97 +4.6% | 2 |
| 286d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 90,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,103 | +$338 +8.2% | 3 |
| 286d | Segamegasega | 90,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,675 | −$166 −9.9% | — |
| 286d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896618 fills | 90,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $26,233 | +$10,922 +42% | 4 |
| 286d | brr69420 | 90,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,446 | +$126 +8.7% | 3 |
| 286d |  Hunter1207 | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,348 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | Niudad2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,971 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d |  BRG94 | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,793 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896619 fills | 90,000 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $24,403 | −$24,403 −100% | 4 |
| 286d | deyi962451 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | luckee20262 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d |  CAGKaLeung | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,086 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d |  vitaliy007 | 88,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,428 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 286d | brr69420 | 90,000 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | −$623 −45% | — |
| 286d | JustMME | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,504 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | PmDerek5 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,103 | +$81 +0.6% | 2 |
| 286d | 1231123123 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 286d |  mubs | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 286d |  youngsoros | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,040 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 286d | saber99 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,672 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 286d | ElongatedMushroom | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,661 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 286d | excel1256 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,013 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 286d | astrarog | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,155 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 286d | pedrosanchez69 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,587 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 286d | rakitit | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,960 | −$39 −0.6% | — |
| 287d | Arrlaung | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,172 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 287d | inno6492 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,190 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 287d | noloainakaila | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,128 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 287d |  dukunmarket2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,000 | +$30 +0.3% | 2 |
| 287d | dukunmarket2 fills | 88,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,000 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 |
| 287d | isloni | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,700 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 287d | inno649 | 94,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,096 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 287d | Litmo | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,263 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | safor | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,199 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | luckee2026 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | skyco | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,453 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | Bitcoin11 | 90,000 | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,483 +49% | 5 |
| 287d | mangtou | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d |  largeleeks888 | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,431 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | 1337zzz1337 | 90,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$391 +36% | 4 |
| 287d | Sophiachen | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,264 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 287d | Niudad2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,777 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 287d | reuben-11 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,583 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
Fartard7,940 shares
Libitum4,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 90,000 means the market gives it about 100%.