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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −53 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85d | Nothfail | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,319 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d |  gugu-gaga2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,450 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 85d | 0xDB5 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,031 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 85d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,696 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d |  VasiliSko3 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,229 | +$21 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d |  jakebet | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,220 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 85d | Incompatible-Concentrate | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | lidiyabasova | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,105 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 85d | TangS4189 | 64,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | −$14 −1.1% | — |
| 85d | VasiliSko2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,158 | +$30 +0.9% | 2 |
| 86d | TangS4189 | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,643 | +$20 +1.2% | 2 |
| 86d | luckybet2025 | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 86d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,393 | +$100 +4.2% | 2 |
| 86d | Funboyboy5 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,252 | +$235 +1.1% | 2 |
| 86d | WanTonMee | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,019 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | detoxification | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,541 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 86d | QuantumQuesting | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,376 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 86d |  Tttyh2 fills | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,892 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 86d |  smokyCappuccino | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | Tttyh2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,138 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 86d | averagerandomman21 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,283 | +$51 +0.2% | 2 |
| 86d | Serene-Decision3 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $57,365 | +$188 +0.3% | 2 |
| 86d | Serene-Decision3 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $8,070 | +$301 +3.7% | 2 |
| 86d | Tttyh3 fills | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $39,428 | −$39 −0.1% | — |
| 86d | Tttyh2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $70,720 | +$71 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d |  Vatumok | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,751 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | Ornate-Brocolli | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 86d | easypredict | 66,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $4,206 | +$685 +16% | 3 |
| 86d | VasiliSko | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,514 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 86d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,295 | +$127 +1.7% | 2 |
| 86d | Timely-Expansionism | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 86d | Embellished-Cruise4 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,986 | +$68 +1.0% | 2 |
| 86d | faabi | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 86d | detoxification | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,967 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 86d | Incognitoo2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,300 | +$84 +1.3% | 2 |
| 86d |  OneShotKi11 | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,897 | +$23 +0.8% | 2 |
| 86d | On9Chasiu | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,292 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 86d | 0xvanilla | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,039 | +$44 +2.1% | 2 |
| 86d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $2,432 | +$1,168 +48% | 4 |
| 86d | Dou123 | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | +$26 +1.1% | 2 |
| 86d |  Aranddava | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,402 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | Kirilli | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,472 | +$30 +1.2% | 2 |
| 86d |  Nonaiaha | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,105 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d |  Zyli | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,215 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,506 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 86d |  Leisurely | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 86d | onlyhit | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,007 | +$21 +1.1% | 2 |
| 86d | jjjclv6 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,000 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,094 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | averagerandomman | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$13 +1.2% | 2 |
| 86d | Assured-Familiarity | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,813 | +$31 +1.1% | 2 |
| 86d | suyizi | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,391 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 86d | Steel-Bracelet | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | +$22 +1.2% | 2 |
| 86d | MU247 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,108 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 86d |  soylentgoy | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$61 +1.2% | 2 |
| 86d | AlexHee | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,614 | +$21 +1.3% | 2 |
| 86d | atkw | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | Gozila | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,680 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 86d | cantrylah22 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,926 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 86d | Overcooked-Spinach | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,200 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK12,088 shares
pizzafi10,888 shares
traders-club5,821 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 68,000 means the market gives it about 0%.