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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +41 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83d | Steel-Bracelet | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,000 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 83d | lowguard | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,163 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 84d | SkyLove7 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,487 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | averagerandomman | 64,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,010 | +$65 +6.4% | 3 |
| 84d | Noelleee | 64,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$248 +17% | 3 |
| 84d |  Tttyh2 fills | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,461 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | Tttyh | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,148 | +$23 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d |  walnascar | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Alanfree | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,700 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | KetelOne | 64,000 | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 84d | Funboyboy | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,885 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d |  VasiliSko | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,581 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | VasiliSko9 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,722 | +$70 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d | Candela | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,713 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 84d |  smokyCappuccino | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,478 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | Gozila | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,800 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | 0xzig | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,100 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Embellished-Cruise2 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,399 | +$28 +0.8% | 2 |
| 84d | Overcooked-Spinach | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,580 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,438 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | averagerandomman | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 84d | suyizi | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,715 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | supalien | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,500 | +$34 +0.6% | 2 |
| 84d | Tttyh3 fills | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,000 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 84d | Tttyh3 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,783 | +$33 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | TangS4189 | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 84d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,445 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | cantrylah2 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,956 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | atkw | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | jrfjftj | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,287 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | hulhjl | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,025 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | gt1972 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,822 | +$119 +2.0% | 2 |
| 84d | averagerandomman | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$16 +1.4% | 2 |
| 84d | mulpodsa852 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,528 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d | yisan2 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,208 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | yier2 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,372 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | 0xvanilla | 62,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,056 | +$64 +3.1% | 2 |
| 85d | luckybet2025 | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$16 +1.4% | 2 |
| 85d | Marioy | 64,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 3 |
| 85d | Ponzinibbio | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,199 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 86d | easyclap | 68,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $7,471 | +$830 +11% | 2 |
| 86d | shabbysalta | 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,758 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 87d | shabbysalta | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,114 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.