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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +37 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | — | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,072 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | Assured-Familiarity | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,899 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 82d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,350 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 83d | PmDerek | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,747 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | lowguard | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,209 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 83d | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $17,831 | +$326 +1.8% | 2 | |
| 83d | Incognitoo3 fills | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,080 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 83d | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,146 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 83d | Embellished-Cruise | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,530 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 83d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,054 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 83d | Mizukaze | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,230 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | Mizukaze | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,227 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,008 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 83d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,769 | −$10 −0.1% | — | |
| 83d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,676 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 83d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,655 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 83d | TangS4189 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 83d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,930 | +$21 +1.1% | 2 |
| 83d | Dou123 | 64,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | +$87 +5.3% | 2 |
| 83d | mulpodsa85 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 83d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,275 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 83d | AndrianoLamo | 64,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$114 +5.7% | 2 |
| 83d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 83d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,296 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 83d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,474 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 83d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,440 | +$30 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 83d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 64,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,398 | +$266 +19% | 3 |
| 83d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,496 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 83d | Embellished-Cruise | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,517 | +$18 +0.7% | 2 |
| 83d | gobblewobble3 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,306 | +$527 +16% | 3 |
| 83d | bearstodamoon | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,292 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 83d | Gregarious-Distribution | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,684 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 83d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,639 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 83d | supalien | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,444 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 83d | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,161 | −$16 −0.1% | — | |
| 83d | atkw | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | 0xvanilla | 64,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$368 +32% | 4 |
| 83d | LouisDouis | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,930 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | cantrylah2 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,966 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | Embellished-Cruise | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,336 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 83d | Incognitoo | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 83d | ReflectLens | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,842 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | MirrorOutcome | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,450 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | Navigator77 | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 83d | Navigator77 | 62,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$21 +0.5% | 2 |
| 83d | averagerandomman | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,074 | +$16 +1.5% | 2 |
| 83d | yisan2 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,513 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | yier2 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,376 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | mulpodsa853 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,491 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 83d | iseliteressaigs | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,158 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | Soulful-Founder | 66,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,293 | −$22 −1.7% | — |
| 84d | bearstodamoon | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,476 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | bearstodamoon | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,435 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | PmDerek | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | Candela | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,964 | +$36 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | YautjaPM2 | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,946 | +$54 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Glennraven | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 60,000 means the market gives it about 100%.