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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +26 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81d | mulpodsa852 fills | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,029 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 81d | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,544 | +$145 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 81d | Paul9739732 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$37 +0.8% | 2 |
| 81d | noloainakaila2 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$34 +1.2% | 2 |
| 81d | anon.1980.123 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,386 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 81d | averagerandomman | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,096 | +$17 +1.5% | 2 |
| 81d | 64,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,691 | −$17 −1.0% | — | |
| 81d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,172 | +$148 +4.7% | 2 |
| 81d | edseah | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,400 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 81d | mulpodsa85 | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,689 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 81d | YautjaPM22 fills | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,325 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 81d | Mizukaze | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,526 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 81d | dajsijnnd | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,940 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 82d | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,843 | +$39 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 82d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,103 | +$442 +7.2% | 2 |
| 82d | GoingGangrene | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,253 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 82d | Doomster | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 82d | gobblewobble | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,534 | +$31 +2.0% | 2 |
| 82d | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,875 | +$70 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 82d | lowguard | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,855 | +$34 +0.9% | 2 |
| 82d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $18,201 | −$18 −0.1% | — | |
| 82d | onlyhit | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 1881aa | 64,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,192 | −$19 −0.6% | — |
| 82d | Incognitoo3 fills | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,735 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 82d | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $14,414 | −$26 −0.2% | — | |
| 82d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,500 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | MU247 | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 82d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,436 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,125 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,214 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,472 | +$63 +2.6% | 2 | |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | WanTonMee | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,031 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 82d | Ornate-Brocolli | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$49 +2.4% | 2 |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,118 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,210 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,380 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,501 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,056 | +$40 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | Timely-Expansionism | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.1% | 2 |
| 82d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,976 | +$420 +4.7% | 2 |
| 82d | bearstodamoon3 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,434 | +$52 +0.3% | 2 |
| 82d | anon.1980.123 | 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,497 | +$135 +2.1% | 2 |
| 82d | anon.1980.123 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,487 | −$25 −0.2% | — |
| 82d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,986 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 82d | easypredict4 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $17,917 | +$1,994 +11% | 2 |
| 82d | mulpodsa85 | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,007 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 82d | faabi | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,777 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 82d | Funboyboy3 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $15,291 | +$431 +2.8% | 2 |
| 82d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,679 | +$21 +0.5% | 2 |
| 82d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,317 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 82d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 64,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,598 | +$50 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 82d | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,590 | −$5 −0.3% | — | |
| 82d | 0xzig | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,200 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 82d | atkw | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 82d | onlyhit | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,140 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 82d | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,590 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.