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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >115k | 100% | +10 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >120k | 0% | −18 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >110k | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >140k | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| >105k | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >100k | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >90k | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >95k | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| >125k | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 443d | prayer2008 | >115k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,590 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 443d |  NrNrfNrf2 | >115k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,955 | −$34 −1.8% | — |
| 443d | iamgone | >110k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,026 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 443d | 0xb68a…c5684 fills | >120k | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $10,355 | +$1,904 +18% | 3 |
| 443d | 0xb68a…c5684 fills | >105k | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,513 | +$30 +0.2% | 2 |
| 443d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >100k | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,457 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 443d | 0xb68a…c568 | >120k | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,841 | −$428 −15% | — |
| 443d |  Warsh-Nightmare | >95k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,150 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 443d | Thin-Print2 fills | >115k | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $14,070 | +$748 +5.3% | 2 |
| 443d | Niseko | >120k | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,340 | −$660 −15% | — |
| 443d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | >115k | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $9,988 | +$934 +9.4% | 2 |
| 443d | Warsh-Nightmare | >105k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,885 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 443d | Niseko | >120k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,884 | +$116 +3.0% | 2 |
| 444d | 0xb68a…c568 | >115k | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,951 | −$328 −11% | — |
| 444d | iamgone2 fills | >120k | SellNo74¢ → 100¢ | $4,748 | −$1,668 −35% | — |
| 444d | lubent | >140k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,200 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 444d | 0xb68a…c568 | >95k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,060 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 444d | quaalise2 fills | >115k | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,584 | −$1,283 −50% | — |
| 445d | Golita | >90k | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,124 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 445d | 0xheicho | >115k | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$378 +7.6% | 2 |
| 445d | 0xb68a…c568 | >120k | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $1,027 | −$1,027 −100% | 3 |
| 445d | MasonByte2 fills | >115k | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $9,666 | −$3,557 −37% | — |
| 445d | MagicalCompound2 fills | >115k | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $6,416 | −$2,141 −33% | — |
| 445d |  HaileyWelch4 fills | >115k | BuyYes65¢ → 100¢ | $12,246 | +$6,503 +53% | 2 |
| 445d | 0xb68a…c568 | >115k | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,253 | −$1,253 −100% | 5 |
| 446d | EscalateFund | >110k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,108 | +$30 +2.7% | 2 |
| 446d | HaileyWelch2 fills | >120k | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $2,350 | −$2,350 −100% | 4 |
| 446d |  manwithahat3 fills | >120k | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $4,424 | −$4,424 −100% | 3 |
| 446d | Strategyzer2 fills | >120k | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $6,540 | −$6,540 −100% | 5 |
| 446d | Strategyzer2 fills | >115k | SellYes72¢ → 100¢ | $7,972 | −$3,100 −39% | — |
| 447d |  Joebama | >115k | SellYes73¢ → 100¢ | $1,578 | −$584 −37% | — |
| 448d | GeoPolArb | >110k | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | −$125 −7.6% | — |
| 448d | Strategyzer2 fills | >115k | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $4,657 | +$1,692 +36% | 2 |
| 448d | iamgone | >95k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | +$20 +0.8% | 2 |
| 448d | SlenderMan2 fills | >120k | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $5,788 | +$2,552 +44% | 3 |
| 448d | GeoPolArb | >115k | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,079 | −$974 −47% | — |
| 448d | HaileyWelch4 fills | >115k | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $4,391 | −$4,391 −100% | 7 |
| 449d | SlenderMan | >115k | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,519 | −$1,519 −100% | 3 |
| 449d | manwithahat2 fills | >115k | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $3,600 | −$3,600 −100% | 3 |
| 449d | MagicalCompound2 fills | >115k | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $4,356 | +$2,443 +56% | 2 |
| 450d | HaileyWelch | >120k | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,988 | +$1,992 +67% | 2 |
| 451d | quaalise2 fills | >115k | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $3,552 | +$903 +25% | 2 |
| 451d | Niseko | >105k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 2 |
| 452d | MasonByte4 fills | >115k | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $16,619 | +$7,589 +46% | 2 |
| 452d | Rike-Kasia2 fills | >110k | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $8,810 | −$1,258 −14% | — |
| 452d | zero0four4 | >110k | BuyNo15¢ → 0¢ | $2,250 | −$2,250 −100% | 7 |
| 452d | chambi | >120k | SellNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,493 | −$840 −56% | — |
| 455d | elPolloLoco | >90k | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | −$17 −1.6% | — |
| 455d | MagicalCompound | >110k | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,788 | −$617 −16% | — |
| 456d | iamgone | >140k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,770 | +$230 +4.8% | 2 |
| 457d | iamgone | >100k | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,462 | +$82 +5.6% | 2 |
| 458d | EthanX | >115k | SellYes68¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | −$834 −47% | — |
| 458d | EthanX | >110k | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,769 | −$451 −16% | — |
| 459d | Waterfall4122 fills | >140k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,833 | +$305 +5.2% | 2 |
| 459d | HaileyWelch5 fills | >110k | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $10,538 | −$10,538 −100% | 9 |
| 459d | EthanX | >115k | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,667 | +$938 +56% | 2 |
| 459d | EthanX | >110k | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | +$580 +22% | 2 |
| 459d | HaileyWelch | >140k | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$134 +9.1% | 2 |
| 460d |  wegwre364t | >140k | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | −$168 −9.2% | — |
| 460d | NNGG | >120k | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $1,231 | +$1,231 +100% | — |
Lostaccount12343,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 31 July '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the outcome title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >115k means the market gives it about 100%.