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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 0% | −92 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 50,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 52,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100d | Ckikiuu | 62,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,172 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 100d | ascetic0x | 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,818 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 100d | bot258 | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,357 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 100d | hfgdhgfd | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,822 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 100d |  c4acap2 fills | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,883 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 100d | averagerandomman5 fills | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,554 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 |
| 100d | mulpodsa853 fills | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,018 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 100d | dlkjshjbokf | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,351 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 100d | edseah | 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,400 | +$65 +0.9% | 2 |
| 100d | Peepothers2 fills | 62,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,357 | −$159 −6.7% | — |
| 100d | fshtsdgdsb | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,393 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 100d | fainanoskova | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 100d |  VasiliSko3 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,477 | +$34 +0.1% | 2 |
| 100d | winwin10086 | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,293 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 100d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 62,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $3,649 | +$1,818 +50% | 5 |
| 100d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 62,000 | BuyYes57¢ → 0¢ | $3,046 | −$3,046 −100% | 5 |
| 100d | aichitudoufeng | 62,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$392 +38% | 4 |
| 101d | MU247 | 60,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,008 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | Mizukaze | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,145 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | PmDerek | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,311 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | xiaojido202 | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,977 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | averagerandomman3 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,332 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | Incognitoo | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,800 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 101d |  smokyCappuccino | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,731 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 101d | Simple-Supervision | 64,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,037 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 101d |  Tttyh8 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,557 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | WanTonMee | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,953 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | PmDerek2 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | VasiliSko3 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,665 | +$26 +0.6% | 2 |
| 101d | 0xd4a6…27e12 fills | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,395 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 101d | 0xd4a6…27e12 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | VasiliSko | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,369 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | Tttyh | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,498 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$16 +1.3% | 2 |
| 101d | shabbysalta2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | detoxification | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | Candela2 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,532 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | 0x4773…2289 | 60,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $6,681 | +$192 +2.9% | 2 |
| 101d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,077 | +$154 +2.2% | 2 |
| 101d | Candela | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,974 | +$28 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | YautjaPM2 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,982 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | suyizi | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,447 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | ppobb1123 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,120 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | martonis | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,480 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d |  erichsu | 58,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,372 | −$10 −0.3% | — |
| 101d | Gozila | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,750 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | Gozila | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,759 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 101d | Bigold | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,050 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | Bigold | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,000 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 101d | supalien | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,420 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | supalien | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,400 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 101d | 0xzig | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | 0xzig | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,000 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 101d | hersoan2025 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 101d | smokyCappuccino | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 101d | kingofcoinflips6 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $17,607 | +$3,004 +17% | 3 |
| 101d | AlexHee | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,419 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d |  Leisurely | 60,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,266 | +$12 +0.5% | 2 |
| 101d | lanxbaba | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 101d | reerdfxccbfgs | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK9,310 shares
Oriane4,160 shares
Augur9x3,229 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 66,000 means the market gives it about 0%.