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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −15 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | −79 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | — | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 58,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +24 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 52,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 123d | omnibus-00c8ef2 fills | 66,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,126 | −$95 −3.0% | — |
| 123d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,647 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | bot2583 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,101 | +$267 +1.9% | 2 |
| 123d | Grubby-Haircut | 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 123d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $4,282 | +$1,397 +33% | 2 |
| 123d | TOWERCAPITAL | 66,000 | SellYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,612 | +$1,612 +100% | — |
| 123d | 66,000 | SellNo71¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$486 −41% | — | |
| 123d | ascetic0x | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,159 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | ascetic0x | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,264 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | easypredict4 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $8,052 | +$7,506 +93% | 4 |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | MU247 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,084 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | PmDerek | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,240 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,237 | +$55 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 123d | Mizukaze | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,766 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 0xb388…134b | 66,000 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$178 −17% | — |
| 123d | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,436 | +$29 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | Mizukaze | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,501 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 123d | wtde | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,995 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 123d | polbot2 | 68,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,834 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 123d | Rust701 | 68,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,141 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 123d | YautjaPM2 | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,129 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 123d | YautjaPM2 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,989 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | Mizukaze | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 123d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 0¢ | $3,438 | −$3,438 −100% | 4 |
| 123d | WanTonMee2 fills | 64,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,678 | −$21 −0.6% | — |
| 123d | Nothfail | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 123d | hungrykittens | 68,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,074 | −$28 −0.9% | — |
| 123d | anon.1980.123 | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,738 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | anon.1980.123 | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 123d | Timely-Expansionism | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 123d | hz8 | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$30 +0.8% | 2 |
| 123d | luckybet2025 | 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,832 | +$30 +1.6% | 2 |
| 123d | H.xs | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,168 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 123d | WanTonMee | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,605 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 123d | mulpodsa853 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,158 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,526 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 123d | Rust701 | 68,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$55 +2.6% | 2 |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,052 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,955 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,495 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,081 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | hungrykittens | 68,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$102 +3.4% | 2 |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,534 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,525 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,600 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,430 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 123d | Heylam | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,158 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 123d | Heylam | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,365 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,010 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,580 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,325 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,250 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,940 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,840 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 123d | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,445 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.