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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | −99 pts | −95 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | −90 pts | −96 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | −36 pts | −91 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136d | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,038 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 137d | Rust701 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,900 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,248 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 137d | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 137d | itoldu | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,450 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | Fwjonn | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,944 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | 0xcc0f…b9d0 | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,751 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | Tuci1 | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,850 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | Shadi777 | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,086 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | coti25 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,298 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | javalt133 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | Rust701 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,900 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | Mizukaze | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,352 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | noloainakaila | 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,200 | +$48 +1.5% | 2 |
| 137d | 66,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,133 | −$70 −3.3% | — | |
| 137d | 66,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | −$168 −4.3% | — | |
| 137d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04528 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $14,744 | +$13,423 +91% | 5 |
| 137d | averagerandomman | 68,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$73 +7.0% | 3 |
| 137d | 68,000 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,964 | −$286 −9.6% | — | |
| 137d | 68,000 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,181 | −$263 −12% | — | |
| 137d | itsggsforu | 68,000 | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | −$257 −25% | — |
| 137d | 2024 | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | 68,000 | SellNo62¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | −$731 −60% | — | |
| 137d | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,372 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 137d | Mizukaze2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,571 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | qqXiaoHuo | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,463 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | wtde | 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,496 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 137d | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 137d | hungrykittens | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,177 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 137d | anon.1980.123 | 70,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,765 | −$12 −0.7% | — |
| 137d | anon.1980.123 | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,091 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | Emiac | 70,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | −$15 −0.7% | — |
| 137d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,860 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 137d | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,535 | +$104 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 137d | Rin2x | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | ZZXZZ | 70,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,549 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 137d | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,552 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 137d | EddyAncogld2 fills | 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$130 +1.4% | 2 |
| 137d | 70,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,186 | +$68 +1.6% | 2 | |
| 137d | Alex77751 | 68,000 | SellYes68¢ → 0¢ | $9,076 | +$9,076 +100% | — |
| 137d | Acidic-Tide | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | averagerandomman | 70,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$28 +2.6% | 2 |
| 137d | dex53 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,076 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | dex52 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,076 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | 0xDB5 | 70,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,472 | +$49 +3.3% | 2 |
| 137d | Timely-Expansionism | 70,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$40 +3.3% | 2 |
| 137d | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,985 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 137d | 2024 | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | doshshirl | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 137d | 70,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | −$95 −5.4% | — | |
| 137d | Elposton | 70,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$57 −5.0% | — |
| 137d | hz8 | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,019 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 137d | WanTonMee | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,876 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | WanTonMee | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,260 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | RootWoot | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,193 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 137d | sdfsdgdfg | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,763 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,984 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 137d | Funboyboy | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $35,928 | +$72 +0.2% | 2 |
| 137d | 70,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,786 | +$154 +8.6% | 3 | |
| 137d | 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,225 | +$65 +0.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 66,000 means the market gives it about 100%.