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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58,000 | 100% | +9 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 0% | −9 pts | −68 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 56,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | +42 pts | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 54,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | — | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112d |  FXC | 60,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,781 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Mizukaze2 fills | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,987 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d |  VasiliSko7 fills | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,009 | +$94 +0.5% | 2 |
| 112d | VasiliSko3 fills | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,681 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 112d | PmDerek | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,461 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Incognitoo | 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 112d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,693 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 112d | VasiliSko | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,278 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Unfolded-Keeper | 58,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,151 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 112d | DSEDRGTFDRUHYTF | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,134 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | FDSEWZTYGRFUJHYTIJUKUY | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | SADFCSHGBFHDYTGD | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,123 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | detoxification | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | dex53 | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,881 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d |  Tttyh | 56,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,724 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Tttyh2 fills | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $49,491 | +$50 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | FXC | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | yhutfjuhgyghjh | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,170 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Cloudy-Fear-Thistle | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,139 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Right-Handle | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,139 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Cool-Export-Hall | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,139 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | RREEFFGTGTHHJJGGUUII | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,127 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 60,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $6,594 | +$1,572 +24% | 3 |
| 112d |  walnascar | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,329 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Drab-Spell | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d |  patocojo | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,496 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Big-Dinghy | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Powerless-Lab-Savings | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,159 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | FFGGHHJJKKLLHHGG | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,106 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | atkw | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Suburban-Following | 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,131 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 112d | YautjaPM2 | 54,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,091 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Tttyh4 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,924 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | PmDerek2 fills | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,458 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | PmDerek | 54,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | Candela | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,936 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 112d | bearstodamoon3 fills | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,766 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | bearstodamoon | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,991 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 112d | Illustrious-Notebook | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 112d | ppobb1123 | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,444 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 112d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | 56,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,858 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 112d |  soylentgoy | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 112d | suyizi | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,363 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d |  leowei2025 | 56,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 112d |  erichsu | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,021 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Timely-Expansionism | 62,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,007 | −$37 −1.8% | — |
| 112d | Timely-Expansionism | 62,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$44 +2.2% | 2 |
| 112d | Gregarious-Distribution | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,587 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d |  CHINANO1 | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,541 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | suifeng668 | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,487 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 112d | buputong | 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,500 | +$19 +0.4% | 2 |
| 112d | dafei888 | 64,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,700 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 112d | Alanfree | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,855 | +$19 +0.5% | 2 |
| 112d | pingfan666 | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,700 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | pingfan666 | 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,695 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 |
| 112d | Tttyh | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,075 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | hfgdhgfd | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,061 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | cantrylah2 | 54,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,137 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | cantrylah2 | 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Tttyh | 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
71536498201,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 58,000 means the market gives it about 100%.