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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203d | 0xbec3…431b | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,773 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | VictoriousIV | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,181 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | btcpm | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,738 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | Incognitoo | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $17,877 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | bdsg1004 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,057 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | Profile-Setting | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,481 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | Marioy | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $32,515 | −$33 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | musk794 | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,145 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  TTokin | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,234 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | cccuh | 66,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,464 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | breeze1583 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $75,859 | +$141 +0.2% | 2 |
| 203d | liight | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $24,469 | +$69 +0.3% | 2 |
| 203d | baojuhua | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $79,882 | +$118 +0.1% | 2 |
| 203d | AnonymousPerson | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$52 +0.5% | 2 |
| 203d | TTokin | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$16 +1.3% | 2 |
| 203d | hagar | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,799 | +$84 +0.6% | 2 |
| 203d | cccuh | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,437 | +$30 +1.2% | 2 |
| 203d |  upont | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,708 | +$33 +1.2% | 2 |
| 203d | SkyLove7 | 66,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,674 | +$46 +1.7% | 2 |
| 203d | laoli668 | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | +$32 +1.4% | 2 |
| 203d | averagerandomman | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,870 | +$62 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d |  lasiweijiasi3 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,999 | +$117 +1.5% | 2 |
| 203d | Yuki7 | 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,212 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 203d | Worldly-Fifth | 66,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,015 | +$39 +1.9% | 2 |
| 203d | upont | 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,708 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 203d |  FXC | 66,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,543 | +$163 +2.5% | 2 |
| 203d | leinzo | 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,451 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,238 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | MU247 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | Solmaxi8888.sol | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,172 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 203d | Attentive-Silica6 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $14,394 | +$2,879 +20% | 4 |
| 203d | AnonymousPerson | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 203d | Wordy-DirectionNew account | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,890 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | upont | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,256 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | Thin-Print6 fills | 66,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $17,156 | +$1,386 +8.1% | 2 |
| 204d | Xgs | 66,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$99 +6.5% | 3 |
| 204d | Thin-Print | 70,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,984 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 204d | Rickz88 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,793 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 204d |  EA-SY | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,232 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | ascetic0x | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,901 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 204d | doshshirl | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | luwis99 | 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,380 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 204d | upont | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 204d | Rickz883 fills | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,925 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 204d |  QianlongJr | 66,000 | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$369 +27% | 4 |
| 204d | vanessa46 | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,815 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 204d | PmDerek | 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,176 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 204d | PmDerek13 fills | 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,739 | −$57 −0.3% | — |
| 204d | masseyashley | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,847 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 204d | Wet-Swim | 64,000 | SellYes100¢ | $2,528 | −$13 −0.5% | — |
| 204d | chasehammond | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,899 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 204d | WanTonMee2 fills | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,778 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 204d |  something-know | 66,000 | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,644 | +$1,644 +100% | — |
| 204d | TTokin | 68,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 204d | Irondo | 62,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,935 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 204d | listaRR | 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,816 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 204d | Rickz88 | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,140 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 204d | Snappy-Estimate | 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,490 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 204d | seith | 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 204d | Attentive-Silica | 66,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,389 | −$1,389 −100% | 5 |
Fartard104,967 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 66,000 means the market gives it about 100%.