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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +91 pts | +53 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +9 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +42 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169d | Frigid-PrunerNew account | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,585 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 169d |  Miffffy | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,258 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Wordy-Direction | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,781 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | mamai | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,557 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 169d |  Facaie | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,648 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Facaie | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,673 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Discofox9111 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,226 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,128 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,213 | +$712 +14% | 3 |
| 169d |  foxly | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,357 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | listaRR | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,075 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,186 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Rust701 | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,950 | +$184 +3.1% | 2 |
| 169d | WCWS | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,920 | +$80 +4.2% | 2 |
| 169d |  VasiliSko | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,067 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 169d | Funboyboy3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,099 | +$36 +0.2% | 2 |
| 169d | easypredict | 78,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $4,300 | +$700 +16% | 3 |
| 169d | edseah | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,400 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 169d | 0xf705…3ca716 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $41,175 | +$538 +1.3% | 2 |
| 169d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo22¢ → 0¢ | $2,540 | −$2,540 −100% | 9 |
| 169d | 8848meters | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 169d | Rin2x | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,485 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 169d | Anjiki | 80,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,165 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 169d | GoingGangrene | 80,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,537 | +$23 +0.5% | 2 |
| 169d | Incognitoo | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 169d | Incognitoo | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,416 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | onekey02 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,876 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 80,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,990 | −$457 −5.1% | — |
| 169d | Mizukaze3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,075 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,457 | +$42 +1.2% | 2 |
| 169d | anon.1980.123 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,336 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | Facaie2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$60 +2.5% | 2 |
| 169d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,399 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 169d | dodono | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $4,279 | +$22 +0.5% | 2 |
| 169d | 0x5616…21062 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,350 | +$118 +1.3% | 2 |
| 169d | 0xf705…3ca73 fills | 78,000 | SellYes51¢ → 100¢ | $7,480 | −$7,060 −94% | — |
| 169d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.0% | 2 |
| 169d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,149 | +$23 +2.0% | 2 |
| 169d | watersand | 78,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,317 +33% | 4 |
| 169d | JHValueUp | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 169d | badluckeveryday | 68,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,800 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 169d | suntori | 78,000 | SellYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,105 | −$1,329 −43% | — |
| 169d | 0x780a…2d1d2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,500 | +$58 +0.9% | 2 |
| 169d | Chilly-Dibble | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 169d | SDsdasu | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 169d | DFsDASD | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 169d | Fsafsdvmfas | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 169d | HIJjjj | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 169d | vinh6789 | 78,000 | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $2,733 | −$2,147 −79% | — |
| 169d | gugu2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,187 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | wrthshgd | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 169d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,160 | +$31 +0.6% | 2 |
| 169d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,162 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 169d |  smokyCappuccino | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,785 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 169d | shestoyallo | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,221 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 169d | shestoyallo | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | furyfanat | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,267 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 169d | furyfanat | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,270 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 169d | CorentinStakes | 78,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $2,600 | −$2,600 −100% | 3 |
Fartard5,552 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.