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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +7 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −46 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,525 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | zhoufeifan | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | jc222 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,054 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | 12808f07 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,737 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | nicoco | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,503 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,224 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | 0x87ee…597f | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,716 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | Grubby-Haircut | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,660 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d |  upont | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,589 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Grubby-Haircut | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,604 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | amnesia12 | 80,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | −$65 −4.2% | — |
| 158d | 0x8fef…06c9 | 80,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $11,509 | +$324 +2.8% | 2 |
| 158d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | +$63 +4.2% | 2 |
| 158d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,791 | +$341 +9.0% | 3 |
| 158d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,444 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | anon.1980.123 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,180 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | 0x87ee…597f | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,348 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | jc222 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,940 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | Outrageous-Table3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,526 | +$74 +2.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Mizukaze | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,751 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | GetLucky999 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,118 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | wtde | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | winnerz100 | 80,000 | BuyNo12¢ → 0¢ | $1,064 | −$1,064 −100% | 5 |
| 158d | amnesia12 | 80,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$64 +6.3% | 2 |
| 158d | 0x4773…2289 | 80,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$61 +5.8% | 2 |
| 158d | edseah | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,350 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 158d |  FXC | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,033 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,085 | +$146 +2.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,100 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 158d | PmDerek | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 158d |  VasiliSko2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,604 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | kkyys | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,597 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 158d | watersand5 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $14,000 | +$2,469 +18% | 3 |
| 158d | Mizukaze2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,816 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | averagerandomman | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,817 | +$33 +1.8% | 2 |
| 158d | zyq-888 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,257 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Outrageous-Table4 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,764 | +$36 +0.8% | 2 |
| 158d | WanTonMee3 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,936 | +$35 +0.3% | 2 |
| 158d | ian2.0 | 80,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $8,685 | +$886 +10% | 3 |
| 158d |  Aleph777 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,526 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 158d | smkorea7489 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | JHValueUp | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,223 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Funboyboy | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,548 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d |  voidmami | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,993 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 158d | voidmami | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,119 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d |  zff11200 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 158d | 0x780a…2d1d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,991 | −$16 −0.3% | — |
| 158d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,306 | +$52 +0.6% | 2 |
| 158d | Unipolarboy | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,050 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | KM888 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,988 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 158d | 0x780a…2d1d3 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,500 | +$99 +0.8% | 2 |
| 158d | wh0511 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,043 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | nomalmaker | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,796 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | tomccy2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,025 | +$46 +0.4% | 2 |
| 158d | Haadf | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 158d | anon.1980.1233 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,925 | +$109 +1.6% | 2 |
| 158d | vetmin | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,461 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 158d | Envious-Embarrassment-TrooperNew account | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 158d | VasiliSko2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,171 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
MaxiChibrax5,028 shares
Fartard4,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 100%.