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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 0% | −5 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +12 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +63 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,133 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 155d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,380 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 155d | Incognitoo | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,648 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,913 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | MU247 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,783 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,277 | +$24 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 155d | 0x5616…21062 fills | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,302 | −$30 −0.5% | — |
| 155d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,679 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 155d | AnonymousPerson | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,667 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | SkyLove7 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,476 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 156d | Dense-Muscat | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,193 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 156d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 156d | edseah | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,380 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 156d | 0x5616…21063 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,500 | +$201 +1.5% | 2 |
| 156d | ubwilfred | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 156d | polbot2 | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,983 | +$17 +0.6% | 2 |
| 156d | BunCaCham | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 156d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,710 | +$80 +1.0% | 2 |
| 156d | ian2.02 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,054 | +$125 +1.2% | 2 |
| 156d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,273 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 156d | 82,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,700 | −$376 −3.9% | — | |
| 156d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,064 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 156d | neverbuypredict | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,555 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 156d | averagerandomman2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,254 | +$56 +2.5% | 2 |
| 156d | cakes | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,267 | +$34 +0.1% | 2 |
| 156d | Nothfail | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,148 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 156d | AnonymousPerson | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,919 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 156d | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 156d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $5,088 | +$1,729 +34% | 4 |
| 156d | jc222 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,902 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 156d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,408 | +$19 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 156d | quemajuao | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 156d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 82,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,096 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 156d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $30,470 | +$117 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 156d | doshshirl | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 156d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,976 | +$24 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 156d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,736 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 156d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $21,180 | +$116 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 156d | xOvation | 80,000 | SellYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | −$3,286 −186% | — |
| 156d | unchainedd | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,319 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 156d | YEHSIshi | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,575 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 |
| 156d | 1881aa | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 156d | Qasdft | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 156d | YShsdf | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$10 +0.8% | 2 |
| 156d | Sdghtww | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 156d | KIsjdi | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,150 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 156d | Fdshyt | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 156d | Ksjbfaw | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 156d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $29,970 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 156d | Ujdiwad | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,125 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 156d | Mizukaze | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,934 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 156d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,809 | −$14 −0.2% | — | |
| 156d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 156d | ppobb1123 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,146 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 156d | LDJdhwid | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$16 +1.5% | 2 |
| 156d | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | +$33 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 156d | Funboyboy | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,191 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 156d | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | +$36 +3.1% | 2 | |
| 156d | Fafa13 | 80,000 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.