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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −32 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +25 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −83 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,444 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 154d | Soggy-Question | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,050 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | leinzo | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,289 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,241 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 154d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,002 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 154d | umtc4m | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,097 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,442 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 154d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 154d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,509 | −$12 −0.1% | — | |
| 154d | Br26 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,123 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | 0x780a…2d1d2 fills | 78,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $9,702 | −$413 −4.3% | — |
| 154d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,360 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 154d | Kovan | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,047 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 154d | Outrageous-Table6 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,139 | +$61 +0.9% | 2 |
| 154d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,200 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 154d | wakakakakakaka | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,915 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 154d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,456 | +$84 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 154d | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $22,378 | −$22 −0.1% | — | |
| 155d | 1881aa | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$21 +1.5% | 2 |
| 155d | 1881aa | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,059 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | Outrageous-Table3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,486 | +$59 +1.7% | 2 |
| 155d | 0x780a…2d1d2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$115 +1.2% | 2 |
| 155d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,934 | −$48 −0.8% | — |
| 155d | kntlll | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$50 +2.5% | 2 |
| 155d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $12,946 | +$77 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 155d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,011 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | Cactus-001 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,840 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | Bananchik1999 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,256 | −$13 −0.1% | — | |
| 155d | GoingGangrene | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,727 | +$26 +0.7% | 2 |
| 155d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | +$23 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 155d | edseah | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,394 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | termita88 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 155d | Outrageous-Table5 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,975 | +$25 +0.4% | 2 |
| 155d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,508 | −$20 −0.3% | — | |
| 155d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,619 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 155d | Outrageous-Table6 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,192 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | Timely-Expansionism | 78,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 155d | wtde | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,065 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 155d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,838 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 78,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,900 | −$213 −3.6% | — |
| 155d | wopperdopper | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,176 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,245 | +$36 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 155d | 80,000 | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,480 | −$1,548 −24% | — | |
| 155d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,837 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 155d | On9Chasiu | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,048 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 155d | averagerandomman | 80,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$124 +12% | 3 |
| 155d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,914 | +$347 +5.9% | 2 |
| 155d | Mizukaze | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,937 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | 12808f07 | 78,000 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,879 | −$627 −22% | — |
| 155d | cakes2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $61,672 | +$62 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | GTYTHFUIKULJHG | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,001 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 155d | kntlll2 fills | 82,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,784 | −$123 −3.2% | — |
| 155d | DXHFGVJKHUB | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 155d | 80,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,218 | +$327 +5.3% | 2 | |
| 155d | BunCaCham | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 155d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 80,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,849 | +$476 +12% | 3 |
| 155d | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.