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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +29 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 167d | Winding-Assessment | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,855 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,302 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 168d | dicipline | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | 12808f07 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,121 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | Parallel-Outcome | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,222 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,613 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | anon.1980.123 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $32,490 | −$33 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,740 | +$49 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 168d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,646 | +$22 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 168d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 168d | Pajszer | 78,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | −$21 −1.7% | — |
| 168d | Vital-Ideal | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$37 +0.6% | 2 |
| 168d | CorentinStakes | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,445 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 168d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,711 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 168d | dqejgddg | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | dujfg | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,093 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | SkyLove7 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | rwefaca | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | ZZXZZ | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | FDfdetf | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,127 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | guccigopnik | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,438 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 168d | rusgreat | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | vfsdcas | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,196 | +$121 +2.3% | 2 |
| 168d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,205 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 168d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,393 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 168d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$305 +8.7% | 3 |
| 168d | KaelNevermore | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,289 | −$7 −0.3% | — |
| 168d | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,976 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 168d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 78,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $5,252 | +$1,153 +22% | 4 |
| 168d | WanTonMee3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,943 | +$22 +0.4% | 2 |
| 168d | mar14 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,343 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 168d | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 168d | Tianhe | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,650 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 |
| 168d | Fumbling-DolmanNew account | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,003 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 168d | FGTDFUHYGI | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,025 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 168d | Huge-AirmailNew account | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,024 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 168d | JKTYUIDFGH | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,030 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 168d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,202 | +$28 +0.5% | 2 |
| 168d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,201 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | JIUSHENzhou | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 168d | nomalmaker | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,806 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 168d | nomalmaker | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$11 +0.6% | 2 |
| 168d | 8848meters | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 168d | noirsatan | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,111 | +$25 +0.6% | 2 |
| 168d | Gregarious-Distribution | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$9 +0.7% | 2 |
| 168d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,281 | +$9 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 168d | JudasPr13st | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 168d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$10 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 168d | anon.1980.1234 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $31,273 | +$350 +1.1% | 2 |
| 168d | Frozen-Petal | 78,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,852 | +$330 +18% | 3 |
| 168d | watersand | 78,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$639 +21% | 3 |
| 168d | anon.1980.1232 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,543 | +$52 +1.5% | 2 |
| 168d | 0xcae6…a0e74 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $7,134 | −$7,134 −100% | 12 |
| 168d | Spectacular-UnderwireNew account | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,865 | +$17 +0.9% | 2 |
| 168d | Winding-Assessment | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,840 | +$17 +0.9% | 2 |
| 168d | Timely-Expansionism | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$29 +1.7% | 2 |
| 168d | gilmartramontini176 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,941 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 168d | gilmartramontini176 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,941 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.