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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −42 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +25 pts | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −16 pts | −66 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −27 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 150d | finescriptograficos | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,230 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | finescriptograficos | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,298 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d |  Facaie | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | jc222 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,105 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | On9Chasiu | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,276 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | trading12368 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,458 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Dense-Muscat | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,205 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,533 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Rust701 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,111 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 150d |  Ambitious-Spat | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Facaie | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Facaie | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | flw | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,472 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 150d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,397 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | edseah | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,750 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,954 | +$28 +0.4% | 2 |
| 150d | Funboyboy2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,808 | +$68 +0.7% | 2 |
| 150d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,968 | +$758 +11% | 3 |
| 150d | MU247 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,506 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | jc222 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,433 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Diligent-Component | 78,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,559 | +$141 +9.0% | 3 |
| 150d | AnonymousPerson2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,785 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | IH2P | 78,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,463 | +$449 +31% | 4 |
| 150d | upont | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,031 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 150d | BigBossBowser | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 150d | 2024 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,516 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d |  VasiliSko5 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $22,163 | +$116 +0.5% | 2 |
| 150d | trading12368 | 78,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$130 +6.5% | 3 |
| 150d | trading12368 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,900 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 150d | 0xDB5 | 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | +$58 +5.1% | 2 |
| 150d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,508 | +$23 +0.3% | 2 |
| 150d | Mizukaze2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,007 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d |  Tttyh | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 150d | Deafening-Refund | 76,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,503 | −$39 −2.6% | — |
| 150d | Outrageous-Table10 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,944 | +$56 +0.5% | 2 |
| 150d | Tttyh | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | Dense-Muscat | 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$261 +5.3% | 2 |
| 150d | feiniao88 | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$26 +1.9% | 2 |
| 150d | Cylindrical-Sponge | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,139 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | flw | 78,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$74 +5.3% | 2 |
| 150d | testtesttesttesttest000 | 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $19,000 | +$498 +2.6% | 2 |
| 150d | noirsatan | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,395 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | Outrageous-Table9 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,708 | +$92 +0.9% | 2 |
| 150d | Outrageous-Table2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,155 | +$153 +7.1% | 2 |
| 150d | easyclap2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,600 | +$991 +12% | 2 |
| 150d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,561 | +$541 +7.2% | 2 |
| 150d | WanTonMee2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,772 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 150d | ian2.04 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,779 | +$994 +13% | 3 |
| 150d | EddyAncogld | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,056 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Timely-Expansionism | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
| 150d | Candela2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,228 | +$33 +0.2% | 2 |
| 150d | VasiliSko5 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,855 | +$179 +0.5% | 2 |
| 150d | Tttyh | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | Facaie | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 150d | atkw | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 150d | Incognitoo2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,486 | +$49 +2.0% | 2 |
| 150d | Incognitoo2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,495 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 150d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,509 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 150d | Marioy | 78,000 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,640 | −$360 −22% | — |
| 150d |  black-dog | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,495 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
ELIENMUSK26,178 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.