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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +31 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +27 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166d | Parallel-Outcome | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,351 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | MU247 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $17,543 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | 12808f07 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,178 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  Facaie | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,671 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | Shadow15jose | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,029 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | KaelNevermore | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,019 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,393 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  VasiliSko2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,966 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d |  aketemola | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | VasiliSko | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,156 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,382 | +$719 +11% | 3 |
| 167d | lineupdog | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 167d | Diligent-Component | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,016 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | ian2.0 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,993 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | CorentinStakes | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$27 +0.9% | 2 |
| 167d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 167d | Incompatible-Concentrate | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 167d | 12QWAQA | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,396 | −$4 −0.3% | — |
| 167d | kghj8u2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,380 | +$153 +2.1% | 2 |
| 167d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,220 | +$90 +1.7% | 2 |
| 167d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,349 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 167d |  Tttyh3 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,999 | +$28 +0.3% | 2 |
| 167d | Mizukaze2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,778 | +$52 +0.5% | 2 |
| 167d | detoxification2 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,065 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | Rin2x | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,076 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | Mizukaze | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,110 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | JIUSHENzhou | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,386 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | 8848meters | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,217 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | vetmin | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | Funboyboy | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,043 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | 0x5616…2106 | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$43 +3.9% | 2 |
| 167d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $4,527 | +$194 +4.3% | 2 |
| 167d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$34 +3.2% | 2 |
| 167d | Tttyh2 fills | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,788 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 167d |  Zeta8000 | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,342 | +$98 +4.2% | 2 |
| 167d |  Nero.zt | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,294 | +$96 +4.2% | 2 |
| 167d |  Julia.Z | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,766 | +$74 +4.2% | 2 |
| 167d |  TangDaoDao | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,867 | +$78 +4.2% | 2 |
| 167d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$97 +4.9% | 2 |
| 167d | easypredict | 78,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$72 +6.4% | 3 |
| 167d | PmDerek2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,518 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 167d | 0x93b6…7072 | 78,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$116 +9.9% | 3 |
| 167d | bhkMarvin | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,234 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 167d | DDSSFFGGHHJJHHKK | 76,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,029 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 167d | Huge-AirmailNew account | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 167d | Fumbling-DolmanNew account | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 167d | Deafening-Refund | 78,000 | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,802 | −$1,024 −18% | — |
| 167d | Bouncy-PaperNew account | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 167d | SDFGHJKLHGC | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 167d | Timely-Expansionism | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
| 167d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,327 | +$27 +0.5% | 2 |
| 167d | Navigator77 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,329 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 167d | 0x780a…2d1d2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$71 +1.4% | 2 |
| 167d | Spectacular-UnderwireNew account | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 167d | Winding-Assessment | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 167d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F4 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $12,177 | +$4,339 +36% | 4 |
| 167d | Cool-Export-HallNew account | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,018 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 167d | H.xs | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.