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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80,000 | 100% | +82 pts | +80 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +29 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 166d | Marioy | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | 90119011 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,128 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | jc222 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,179 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d |  Facaie | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,252 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d |  Miffffy | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,391 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Facaie | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | AINY001 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,235 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | AINY001 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,584 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Bubbleman | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | 0xf367…212e | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,457 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d |  turbotroll | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,492 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,246 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 166d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,192 | +$45 +2.0% | 2 |
| 166d |  NotRoaringKitty | 80,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,672 | +$328 +20% | 3 |
| 166d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,539 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $7,081 | +$7,721 +109% | 5 |
| 166d | 0xf367…212e | 80,000 | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $1,530 | +$1,930 +126% | 5 |
| 166d | CorentinStakes2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,667 | −$2,667 −100% | 4 |
| 166d | 0xf367…212e | 80,000 | SellNo91¢ → 0¢ | $2,177 | +$2,177 +100% | — |
| 166d |  Tttyh | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $26,340 | +$26 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | watersand | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,037 | −$51 −0.6% | — |
| 166d | Tttyh2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | gourou345 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,020 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F8 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $13,888 | −$13,888 −100% | 4 |
| 166d |  EA-SY | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,075 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 166d | deranged | 78,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 166d | EA-SY | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,391 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | ian2.0 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,586 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 |
| 166d | Facaie | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,886 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | Oleksi1 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,490 | +$17 +1.1% | 2 |
| 166d | Rhabarberbarbarbar2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,187 | +$24 +0.2% | 2 |
| 166d | GoingGangrene | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,505 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 166d | 0xDB5 | 80,000 | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,618 | +$1,618 +100% | — |
| 166d | IH2P2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $6,178 | −$6,178 −100% | 3 |
| 166d | 0xDB52 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $2,686 | −$2,686 −100% | 3 |
| 166d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 80,000 | SellNo56¢ → 0¢ | $1,240 | +$1,240 +100% | — |
| 166d | Facaie | 80,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,929 | +$1,417 +73% | 5 |
| 166d | averagerandomman3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,604 | +$66 +1.8% | 2 |
| 166d | deranged | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | H.xs | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,105 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 166d | deranged | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,176 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | wyh. | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 166d | Rust701 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,072 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | TOWERCAPITAL2 fills | 80,000 | SellYes62¢ → 100¢ | $6,541 | −$4,026 −62% | — |
| 166d | 6767 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,525 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 166d |  Libitum | 80,000 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $2,142 | −$2,142 −100% | 7 |
| 166d |  smokyCappuccino | 82,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $8,750 | −$250 −2.9% | — |
| 166d | IH2P | 80,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,355 | +$581 +43% | 5 |
| 166d | 0xDB52 fills | 82,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,943 | −$77 −2.0% | — |
| 166d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes64¢ → 100¢ | $6,979 | +$4,008 +57% | 4 |
| 166d | deranged | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,480 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 166d | leinzo | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,137 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 166d |  VasiliSko5 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,234 | +$97 +0.2% | 2 |
| 166d | Tttyh | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 166d | VasiliSko4 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,763 | +$39 +0.2% | 2 |
| 166d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,470 | +$75 +1.2% | 2 |
| 166d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,469 | −$13 −0.2% | — |
| 166d | copiewopie | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,738 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
Libitum6,301 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.