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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −34 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +13 pts | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +17 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d |  TangDaoDao | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,198 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | zztt1991 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,095 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 164d |  Julia.Z | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,088 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d |  Nero.zt | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,717 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 164d |  Zeta8000 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,774 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Rust701 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,905 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | mamai | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,221 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 164d |  Facaie | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | nbabii | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Facaie | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Clawbangers | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,009 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | 90119011 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,499 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 164d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,943 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | zoquendo | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | wang0766 | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,015 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | 12808f07 | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,649 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | caqiangzouhuo | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,103 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | qiuqiuduidui | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,027 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Diligent-Component | 82,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | +$284 +22% | 4 |
| 164d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $7,225 | +$1,675 +23% | 3 |
| 164d |  VasiliSko | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,543 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,765 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | ian2.0 | 82,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,638 | +$784 +14% | 3 |
| 164d |  patocojo | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,799 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | xiaoxue6731 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,114 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d |  aketemola | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | Mizukaze | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,986 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | dvito | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,131 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 164d | Navigator77 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,765 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Yunika | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,383 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | 0x847f…9dd2 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | Incompatible-Concentrate | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | 0x9870…7d2a | 80,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,043 | −$51 −1.7% | — |
| 164d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,043 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 164d | VasiliSko2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,361 | +$40 +0.3% | 2 |
| 164d | JIUSHENzhou | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,515 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 164d | watersand2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$1,005 +10% | 3 |
| 164d | 1881aa | 80,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,506 | −$71 −2.0% | — |
| 164d | easypredict3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $4,377 | +$1,309 +30% | 4 |
| 164d | doshshirl | 84,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 164d |  Tttyh | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Deafening-Refund | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,979 | +$21 +1.0% | 2 |
| 164d | mamai | 82,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | +$1,014 +41% | 4 |
| 164d | BunCaCham | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,248 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | Funboyboy | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 164d | 1881aa | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 164d | Tttyh5 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $65,850 | +$80 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | Incognitoo | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,654 | +$17 +1.0% | 2 |
| 164d | Shadow15jose2 fills | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,212 | −$28 −1.3% | — |
| 164d | Incognitoo2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,296 | +$41 +1.2% | 2 |
| 164d | 0x780a…2d1d2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$86 +1.7% | 2 |
| 164d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,457 | +$103 +3.0% | 2 |
| 164d | BetYourWifeIfUNeedTo | 84,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$47 +2.8% | 2 |
| 164d | smkorea7489 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | JHValueUp | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,216 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | WanTonMee2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,803 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 164d | Funboyboy2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,281 | +$55 +0.4% | 2 |
| 164d |  AndrewPope | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,800 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 164d | HIJjjj | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,125 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
-FROMTHEFUTURE-8,606 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 86,000 means the market gives it about 0%.