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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108,000 | 100% | +6 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 0% | −81 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 0% | −50 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 0% | −21 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 360d |  Miffffy | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,611 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | Dirty-ReorganisationNew account | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,396 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | Dirty-ReorganisationNew account | 106,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,029 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | Luckyguyy | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,836 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | lbjgoat | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | ffafae1 | 106,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,002 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | WTETH | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,200 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | astromage | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | lbjgoat | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | dgdkkk | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,614 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | dsgerr | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,574 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 360d | zdjwwee | 108,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,797 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 360d |  praktor | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,342 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | Yagamis | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,004 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | 1974cryptorean | 110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,299 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | vvela2 fills | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d |  WhyyyO | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | WhyyyO | 110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | vvela | 110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 360d |  moomoomoo7 fills | 108,000 | SellYes53¢ → 100¢ | $7,969 | −$6,965 −87% | — |
| 360d |  JoliveJ | 110,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,129 | +$43 +2.0% | 2 |
| 360d | ffafae1 | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | AZwater | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,610 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | grrrrttt | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,482 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | eyfdsg | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,191 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | rwo | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,179 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d |  ZzLovePp- | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 360d | gdgre | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,468 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | averagerandomman | 110,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | +$90 +8.7% | 3 |
| 360d | vcjwqqw | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,631 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | fdhr8988 | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,435 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | moomoomoo10 fills | 106,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $22,868 | +$1,566 +6.8% | 2 |
| 360d | htrtrrt | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,297 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | ghj1h345 | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,400 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | dfdss | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,416 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 360d | bnvbnmb | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,755 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | hfreyty | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,027 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | ZzLovePp-2 fills | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,182 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 360d | lb6480 | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,246 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | dgdgrr | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 360d | gfdyyy | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | +$27 +1.2% | 2 |
| 360d | 0xf7421b03e0bd887aa1d7bcfd6115e7c818d9df68 | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,065 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | 0x441a4747e298fddcf1eabf1edc3723ba0e32689b | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,054 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | 0x754b58278e0d9c0607a02f341eb2f55242a69197 | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,042 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | 0x45f91e7ab2b4c69771583a4d8ee6619a913a1736 | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,043 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | whouto | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,017 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | praktor | 100,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,535 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 360d | Sasaqtu | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,008 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | moomoomoo5 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $10,254 | +$3,510 +34% | 3 |
| 360d | ZzLovePp-3 fills | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $39,542 | +$84 +0.2% | 2 |
| 360d | brandalmalam | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,668 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 360d | kingofcoinflips15 fills | 110,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $41,101 | +$6,457 +16% | 3 |
| 360d | icysfernando | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,156 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | 99c2 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,367 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 360d | nuoanunu2 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $3,542 | −$3,542 −100% | 12 |
| 360d |  qia | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,996 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 360d | nuoanunu | 108,000 | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,623 | −$1,134 −70% | — |
| 360d | LILDON | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,024 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 360d | PolyBlaster | 108,000 | SellYes63¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | −$859 −59% | — |
| 360d | ethyhy | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,477 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 108,000 means the market gives it about 100%.