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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 99% | −1 pts | — | 98¢ · 99¢ (1¢) | $5.29K | in 5d |
| 76,000 | 95% | +2 pts | — | 95¢ · 96¢ (2¢) | $2.27K | in 5d |
| 80,000 | 69% | +6 pts | — | 67¢ · 70¢ (3¢) | $1.55K | in 5d |
| 74,000 | 98% | +1 pts | — | 98¢ · 98¢ (<1¢) | $1.31K | in 5d |
| 78,000 | 89% | +5 pts | — | 88¢ · 89¢ (1¢) | $886 | in 5d |
| 88,000 | 2% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | $817 | in 5d |
| 84,000 | 16% | −1 pts | — | 14¢ · 18¢ (4¢) | $178 | in 5d |
| 82,000 | 40% | +4 pts | — | 39¢ · 41¢ (2¢) | $168 | in 5d |
| 90,000 | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $136 | in 5d |
| 86,000 | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $100 | in 5d |
| 92,000 | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 5d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 88,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $7,367 | +$248 +3.4% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 99¢ for 72,000 means the market gives it about 99%.