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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110,000 | 100% | +46 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 0% | −22 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 0% | −7 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +16 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +10 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +22 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 357d | Dirty-ReorganisationNew account | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,039 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Dirty-ReorganisationNew account | 112,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,522 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | averagerandomman | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Thin-Print | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,794 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Thin-Print | 114,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,011 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Gaseous-Rust | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,041 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | danielito2 | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,511 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | azacfd | 106,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,202 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | Hedgooooor | 112,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,516 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 357d | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,124 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 357d | AlexHee | 110,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,057 | +$80 +7.5% | 2 |
| 357d | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 357d | 110,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $7,051 | +$1,192 +17% | 3 | |
| 357d | bjbjb | 110,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$224 +12% | 2 |
| 357d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 110,000 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $7,058 | −$7,058 −100% | 6 |
| 357d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | 110,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $2,851 | −$2,851 −100% | 5 |
| 357d | 99c | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,218 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | rwo | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 357d | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,997 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 357d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 110,000 | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $3,650 | +$3,650 +100% | — |
| 358d | Alpha4343 | 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,731 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | Troubled-ScopeNew account | 110,000 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,723 | −$299 −11% | — |
| 358d | kingofcoinflips15 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $29,922 | +$20,275 +68% | 3 |
| 358d | affs20791 | 110,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 3 |
| 358d | huieee | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,463 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 358d | 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,067 | +$45 +1.5% | 2 | |
| 358d | 0xf705…3ca74 fills | 112,000 | SellNo70¢ → 100¢ | $5,456 | −$2,355 −43% | — |
| 358d | w534zerg439gj4i3gh8ewhfggt54z | 110,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,875 | +$625 +33% | 4 |
| 358d | Wath6 fills | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,982 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 358d | alligater6 fills | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,982 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 358d | 108,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 358d | azacfd | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,202 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | brr69420 | 110,000 | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | −$547 −54% | — |
| 358d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c207 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes66¢ → 100¢ | $10,927 | +$5,728 +52% | 5 |
| 358d | danielito2 | 108,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$14 +0.9% | 2 |
| 358d | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,508 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 358d | ioiawf2 fills | 110,000 | SellNo46¢ → 0¢ | $2,538 | +$2,538 +100% | — |
| 358d | marcleapws | 112,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$24 +2.3% | 2 |
| 358d | 0xf705…3ca75 fills | 110,000 | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $11,830 | −$5,780 −49% | — |
| 358d | WCBT | 110,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $3,851 | +$2,261 +59% | 5 |
| 358d | huieee | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,463 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 358d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $11,608 | +$4,388 +38% | 4 |
| 358d | easypredict5 fills | 112,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,397 | +$1,087 +8.8% | 2 |
| 358d | 114,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,841 | +$48 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 358d | gttt555 | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,430 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | 108,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $10,962 | +$450 +4.1% | 2 | |
| 358d | 100,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,313 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 358d | bjbjb | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,145 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | TheWashingtons | 112,000 | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,101 | −$1,101 −100% | 5 |
| 358d | futureismoney | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,999 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | Jooooo-921 | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,490 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | wasdx | 114,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,263 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 358d | AZwater | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 358d | rwo2 fills | 98,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 358d | htpoe | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,397 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 358d | xuqinggoushi | 116,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 358d | 112,000 | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,491 | +$1,491 +100% | — | |
| 358d | JonJuanda | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 358d | falaflel | 112,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,076 | +$820 +27% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 110,000 means the market gives it about 100%.