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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −40 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +18 pts | +55 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −11 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −14 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +30 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 124,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 354d | ozunababy | 104,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | feasf3 | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,950 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | MacAdam | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,988 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | Thin-Print | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,680 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | Thin-Print | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,172 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | danielito2 | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,162 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | AZwater3 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,195 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 354d | Hedgooooor | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,606 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 354d | gdr66 | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,746 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d |  BabaVanga-851 | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,276 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 354d | danielito2 | 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 354d | ZZZttt | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,245 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 354d | Hedgooooor | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,053 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 354d |  DawnKeppel | 114,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,001 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 354d | MacAdam | 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,911 | +$40 +1.0% | 2 |
| 354d |  moomoomoo8 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $22,431 | +$727 +3.2% | 2 |
| 354d | fdg88ttt | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,167 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d |  InsuranceSavesMe2 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,248 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | ggboooom | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,164 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | 528 | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,771 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | 528 | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | kuur | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,515 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | sxxxxe | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | qaaaw | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,209 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 114,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,783 | +$20 +0.7% | 2 |
| 354d | gerer95 | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,700 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 354d |  ROOKIE | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | Luckyguyy | 116,000 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,303 | −$174 −13% | — |
| 354d | ROOKIE | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 354d | brr69420 | 114,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | −$44 −3.1% | — |
| 354d | Thin-Print3 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $5,166 | +$439 +8.5% | 3 |
| 354d | Alpha4343 | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,448 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | moomoomoo | 116,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,548 | −$1,548 −100% | 5 |
| 354d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 116,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $1,230 | +$820 +67% | 5 |
| 354d | mayabuyaoya | 112,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,570 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 354d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | +$548 +16% | 2 |
| 354d | waver2m | 114,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,442 | −$58 −4.0% | — |
| 354d |  BoringPunter10 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $51,099 | +$56 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | BoringPunter | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,934 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | BBQQBB | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,249 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 354d | BBQQBB | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,250 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | feasf32 fills | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | brr69420 | 114,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,145 | +$350 +11% | 3 |
| 354d | Robust-Database | 116,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$76 +6.4% | 3 |
| 354d | Thin-Print2 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$110 +4.3% | 2 |
| 354d | werfghyt | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,886 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 354d | allenyang2 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,999 | +$36 +0.6% | 2 |
| 354d | MavHZ | 116,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$44 +3.1% | 2 |
| 354d |  nefakop | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 354d | giugiug | 120,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$7 −0.7% | — |
| 354d | utfhdrf | 118,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,613 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 354d | fghgvc | 118,000 | SellNo100¢ | $1,698 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 354d | gdfdy | 118,000 | SellNo100¢ | $2,203 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 354d | kingofcoinflips7 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $19,566 | +$4,783 +24% | 3 |
| 354d | fghgvc | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,655 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 354d | utfhdrf | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,986 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 354d | gdfdy | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,206 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 354d |  franeotb | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,600 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | Taki-533 | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,064 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 354d | jjmenezj | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,882 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
71536498205,100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.