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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120,000 | 100% | +13 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +97 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +84 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 378d | rwo | 120,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,596 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | prayer2008 | 120,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,044 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 378d |  GregSharp | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,863 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | babo959 | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,935 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | Bewater | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,122 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 378d | usd2 | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,047 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | zhujias | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | 2331sd1 | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,027 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | zhajiji | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,015 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 378d |  Loki11 | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,028 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 378d | wanqing22 | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,599 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 378d | xixi2332 | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,900 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 378d | chromestore | 118,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,226 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 379d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | 120,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $8,209 | +$905 +11% | 3 |
| 379d |  Tuku | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,057 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | zhajiji | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,987 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | folios | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,888 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | tizy0s | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,046 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | swagalier9 | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,501 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | swagalier9 | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,120 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | Tuta122 | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,017 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c208 fills | 118,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $13,179 | +$12,186 +92% | 3 |
| 379d | petya2 fills | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,370 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 380d | anonymooseee | 120,000 | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,126 | −$874 −78% | — |
| 380d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c206 fills | 120,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $12,823 | −$12,823 −100% | 2 |
| 380d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c206 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $17,841 | +$5,707 +32% | 2 |
| 380d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | 120,000 | BuyYes44¢ → 100¢ | $2,854 | +$3,646 +128% | 4 |
| 381d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c204 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo42¢ → 0¢ | $6,613 | −$6,613 −100% | 5 |
| 381d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c206 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $15,052 | −$15,052 −100% | 3 |
| 381d | Ponzinibbio | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$12 +1.2% | 2 |
| 381d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c202 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $6,772 | +$1,243 +18% | 2 |
| 381d | kingofcoinflips | 116,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $2,182 | +$1,338 +61% | 3 |
| 381d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | 114,000 | BuyNo37¢ → 0¢ | $1,465 | −$1,465 −100% | 3 |
| 383d | Fakemode | 112,000 | BuyNo29¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 5 |
| 383d |  brockthebaby | 118,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $1,275 | −$1,275 −100% | 2 |
| 383d | brockthebaby | 114,000 | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $2,059 | −$2,059 −100% | 3 |
classicart1,618 shares
Loser-Boy1,452 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 120,000 means the market gives it about 100%.